The Cleveland Guardians (25-30) visit the Minnesota Twins (29-27) in AL Central action, at 7:40 PM ET on Thursday.
The Twins are a home favorite (-141) against the Guardians (+121). The contest has a set total of 8.
The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of June 1, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -141 | +121 | 8 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have been favorites in 33 games this season and won 22 (66.7%) of those contests.
- Minnesota is 13-9 this season when entering a game favored by -141 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.5% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 24 of 56 games with a total.
- The Twins have an ATS record of 28-28-0 in 56 games with a spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.64 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been underdogs in 23 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (43.5%) in those contests.
- This year, Cleveland has won three of seven games when listed as at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of its 55 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 55 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 24-31-0 against the spread.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.44 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez
- Lopez and his team have a record of 4-7-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays.
- Lopez has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Lopez’s team is 6-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Lopez’s team has won six of his 11 starts this season.
- Out of Lopez’s 11 starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 24 | 23.1 | 26 | 4.24 | 6 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 24 | 23 | 19 | 4.30 | 6 | 3 |
| Jhoan Duran | 20 | 21.1 | 29 | 1.27 | 0 | 7 |
| Jovani Moran | 19 | 23.2 | 27 | 3.80 | 6 | 0 |
| Emilio Pagán | 18 | 21.2 | 23 | 4.57 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Tanner Bibee
- Bibee (1-1) gets the starting nod for the Guardians in his seventh start of the season. He has a 2.88 ERA in 34 1/3 innings pitched, with 34 strikeouts.
- The right-hander last appeared on Saturday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he tossed six innings, allowing one earned run while giving up two hits.
- Bibee will try to continue a four-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.7 frames per outing).
- The Guardians were the underdog on the moneyline for three Bibee starts this season — they lost every game.
- Bibee’s team has a 2-4 record in his starts this season.
- Bibee has had six starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and two of those matchups hit the over.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 26 | 27 | 20 | 3.33 | 0 | 17 |
| Trevor Stephan | 24 | 23.1 | 27 | 1.93 | 8 | 2 |
| James Karinchak | 24 | 22.2 | 32 | 4.37 | 9 | 0 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 22 | 21 | 18 | 1.71 | 2 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 19 | 23 | 25 | 1.57 | 2 | 1 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have hit at least two dingers in 32 games this season, and are 27-5 in those contests.
- Minnesota has collected at least five extra-base hits in 19 games this season, and won every time.
- The club has put up eight or more hits in 39 games this season, and is 32-7 in those contests.
- Minnesota has a 33-3 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Twins have gone 15-9 over the 24 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They have won five of the seven games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Cleveland has gone 4-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 14 of the 28 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Cleveland has won 11 of its 15 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 9-8 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Twins vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-141)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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