Mariners vs. Yankees Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 31, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 31, 2023

The New York Yankees (34-23) aim to extend their four-game winning streak when they take on the Seattle Mariners (28-27) on Wednesday at 9:40 PM ET, at T-Mobile Park.

The Mariners are a home favorite (-142) against the Yankees (+122). The over/under for this game is 7.5.

The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 31, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mariners vs Yankees Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mariners -142 +122 7.5

Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 34 times this season and won 20, or 58.8%, of those games.
  • Seattle has a record of 14-7, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -142 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 58.7% chance to win.
  • Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in 22 of its 47 games with a total this season.
  • The Mariners have an ATS record of 21-26-0 in 47 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 15
ERA 4.20
K/9 9.7

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have been underdogs in 17 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (47.1%) in those contests.
  • New York has a win-loss record of 4-5 when favored by +122 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 45% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • New York and its opponents have hit the over in 24 of its 50 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Yankees are 27-23-0 against the spread in their 50 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.8
HR 18
ERA 3.77
K/9 9.1

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – George Kirby

  • Kirby’s team is 5-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, giving up seven earned runs while allowing nine hits.
  • Kirby has eight starts of five or more innings this season in 10 chances. He averages 6.3 innings per outing.
  • Kirby’s team is 5-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Kirby has started, his team is 5-5.
  • Out of Kirby’s nine starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Brash 26 21.2 42 4.57 5 1
Trevor Gott 25 25.2 30 1.75 7 0
Paul Sewald 24 23.1 32 3.09 0 11
Gabe Speier 24 19.1 17 2.79 7 0
Justin Topa 22 20.2 21 3.48 10 1

Yankees Probable Pitcher – Clarke Schmidt

  • Schmidt (2-5 with a 5.58 ERA and 58 strikeouts in 50 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Yankees, his 12th of the season.
  • In his last time out on Thursday against the Baltimore Orioles, the right-hander tossed five innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering five hits.
  • Schmidt is seeking his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.5 frames per start.
  • The Yankees are 1-3 in Schmidt’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Schmidt’s team has put together a 4-7 record in his 11 starts.
  • Schmidt has had nine starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in two of those games.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 23 22 21 2.45 5 3
Clay Holmes 22 22 27 2.45 3 5
Ron Marinaccio 22 27 34 4.00 5 1
Jimmy Cordero 20 23.1 24 3.47 4 0
Albert Abreu 20 27.2 29 3.58 3 0

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • The Mariners have put up two or more home runs in 18 games this season, and are 13-5 in those outings.
  • Seattle has gone 5-2 in its seven games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has notched at least eight hits 36 times this season, and has a 22-14 record in those games.
  • Seattle is 28-6 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Mariners are 18-3 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • They have won 29 of the 39 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In eight games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 7-1.
  • They have won 31 of the 43 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 36 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 27-9.
  • In 18 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 12-6

Mariners vs. Yankees Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Yankees (+122)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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