The San Francisco Giants (28-27) and Pittsburgh Pirates (27-27) play a rubber match on Wednesday at 3:45 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Pirates are an away underdog (+102) versus the Giants (-120). The over/under for this game is 7.5.
The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of May 31, 2023 at 3:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Giants vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | -120 | +102 | 7.5 |
Giants Betting Insights
- This season, the Giants have won 12 out of the 25 games, or 48%, in which they’ve been favored.
- San Francisco has entered 20 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 9-11 in those contests.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Giants.
- So far this season, San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 22 of 48 games with a total.
- In 48 games with a spread this season, the Giants are 25-23-0 ATS.
Giants Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 2.66 |
| K/9 | 10.4 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been victorious in 13, or 38.2%, of the 34 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 11-19 when favored by +102 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 23 of its 47 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 23-24-0 in 47 games with a line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.52 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
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Giants Probable Pitcher – Alex Wood
- Wood and his team have a record of 4-2-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, giving up one earned run while allowing three hits.
- Wood has one start of five or more innings this season in six chances. He averages 3.6 innings per outing.
- When Wood starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-1.
- Wood’s team is 4-2 when he starts this season.
- In Wood’s six starts with a total, the teams have hit the over four times.
Giants Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camilo Doval | 24 | 23.2 | 35 | 1.90 | 0 | 14 |
| Tyler Rogers | 22 | 27 | 22 | 2.00 | 11 | 2 |
| Taylor Rogers | 21 | 18.1 | 20 | 3.93 | 3 | 1 |
| Scott Alexander | 20 | 20.1 | 11 | 3.98 | 3 | 1 |
| John Brebbia | 20 | 22.2 | 32 | 3.97 | 7 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller
- Keller makes the start for the Pirates, his 12th of the season. He is 6-1 with a 3.01 ERA and 85 strikeouts in 68 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent appearance was on Saturday against the Seattle Mariners, when the righty tossed six innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Keller will try to build on an 11-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.2 frames per outing).
- The Pirates have a 3-2 record in Keller’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Keller’s team has an 8-3 record in his starts this season.
- Keller’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in five of nine games.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 21 | 24.2 | 36 | 1.82 | 2 | 1 |
| Colin Holderman | 20 | 20.2 | 26 | 2.18 | 10 | 0 |
| David Bednar | 20 | 21 | 28 | 1.29 | 0 | 10 |
| Jose Hernandez | 19 | 24 | 23 | 2.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
Giants Hitting Trends
- The Giants have put up at least two home runs in 27 games this season, and are 13-14 in those contests.
- San Francisco has gone 7-7 in its 14 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has collected at least eight hits in 32 games this season, and is 17-15 in those contests.
- San Francisco is 17-13 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Giants have drawn at least five walks in 15 games this season, and are 9-6 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They have won 14 of the 16 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Pittsburgh has gone 12-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 25 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 18-7.
- Pittsburgh has a 17-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 11 of their 17 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Giants vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Giants (-120)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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