The Chicago Cubs (24-30) have a 2-0 series lead and aim to sweep the Tampa Bay Rays (39-18) on Wednesday at Wrigley Field, at 2:20 PM ET.
The Rays are a favorite (-137) at the Cubs (+116). The over/under for the game is 9 total runs.
The insights in the following article reflect odds as of May 31, 2023 at 9:15 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -137 | +116 | 9 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have won 28, or 65.1%, of the 43 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Tampa Bay has a record of 22-7 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -137 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 57.8% chance to win.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 30 of its 50 games with a total this season.
- The Rays are 27-23-0 against the spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.52 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been victorious in 10, or 41.7%, of the 24 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Chicago has come away with a win seven times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +116 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Contests with Chicago has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 26 of 48 chances this season.
- The Cubs are 25-23-0 against the spread in their 48 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.9 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.01 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zach Eflin
- Eflin and his team have a record of 3-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up one earned run on six hits in a matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays.
- Eflin has nine starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Eflin’s team has been victorious in 85.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-1.
- Eflin’s team is 8-1 when he starts this season.
- In Eflin’s seven starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 22 | 22.1 | 30 | 3.22 | 5 | 6 |
| Jake Diekman | 21 | 17 | 16 | 7.41 | 4 | 0 |
| Colin Poche | 21 | 18.2 | 12 | 2.41 | 7 | 1 |
| Kevin Kelly | 20 | 25.2 | 19 | 4.21 | 5 | 2 |
| Jalen Beeks | 13 | 27.2 | 26 | 4.55 | 2 | 0 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Justin Steele
- Steele (6-2 with a 2.77 ERA and 57 strikeouts in 65 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Cubs, his 12th of the season.
- The lefty last pitched on Friday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he went 3 2/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up 10 hits.
- Steele heads into the game with 10 outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- The Cubs have a 2-2 record in Steele’s four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- In Steele’s 11 starts, his team is 6-5.
- Steele’s starts went over the run total six times in 10 games with a set total this season.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fulmer | 21 | 21.2 | 24 | 7.48 | 3 | 1 |
| Julian Merryweather | 20 | 21.2 | 27 | 4.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 20 | 22.1 | 32 | 1.61 | 9 | 2 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 18 | 26 | 26 | 2.42 | 6 | 2 |
| Brandon Hughes | 11 | 11.1 | 15 | 4.76 | 0 | 0 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have a 24-9 record in games this season when they hit at least two homers.
- Tampa Bay has gone 20-2 in its 22 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled at least eight hits in 50 games this season, and is 32-18 in those contests.
- Tampa Bay has a 33-13 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Rays have drawn at least five walks in 16 games this season, and are 13-3 in those contests.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They have won 10 of the 21 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-2.
- In 41 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 28-13.
- Chicago has a 20-6 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 22 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 9-13
Rays vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-137)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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