The San Diego Padres (25-29) visit the Miami Marlins (28-27) at 6:40 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Marlins play as a home underdog (+101) versus the Padres (-119). The total for this game is 8.5.
The insights in the following article use the latest odds as of May 31, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -119 | +101 | 8.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been favorites in 26 games this season and won 13 (50%) of those contests.
- San Diego has a record of 12-12, a 50% win rate, when favored by -119 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 54.3% chance to win.
- Games involving San Diego has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 13 of 46 chances this season.
- In 46 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 23-23-0 ATS.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 4.09 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have come away with 14 wins in the 25 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Miami has come away with a win 12 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +101 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 49.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of its 47 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Marlins are 20-27-0 against the spread in their 47 games that had a posted line this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.93 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell
- Snell and his team are 2-6-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed five innings while giving up one earned run on four hits in a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
- Snell has started 10 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings seven times. He averages 5.0 innings per appearance.
- Snell’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-2).
- Snell’s team has won two of his 10 starts this season.
- In games Snell has started this season, the teams are 3-5-0 at hitting the over.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 24 | 22.2 | 14 | 3.97 | 6 | 0 |
| Steven Wilson | 23 | 25.1 | 28 | 2.84 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 22 | 22 | 32 | 0.82 | 0 | 13 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 19 | 29.2 | 28 | 3.64 | 3 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 13 | 45.2 | 37 | 2.76 | 3 | 1 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett
- Garrett makes the start for the Marlins, his ninth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 47 strikeouts in 48 2/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty’s last time out was on Thursday against the Colorado Rockies, when he threw five innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Garrett will try to go five or more innings for his fifth straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.8 frames per outing.
- The Marlins have been the underdog on the moneyline in five of Garrett’s starts this season, and they went 3-2 in those games.
- In Garrett’s eight starts, his team is 5-3.
- Garrett has had eight starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in three of those outings.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 25 | 24.2 | 28 | 2.92 | 3 | 1 |
| Dylan Floro | 22 | 24 | 23 | 4.50 | 5 | 5 |
| Tanner Scott | 21 | 26 | 37 | 3.46 | 9 | 2 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 21 | 27.1 | 30 | 3.95 | 8 | 0 |
| Matt Barnes | 19 | 21 | 20 | 3.43 | 3 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 10-14 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- San Diego is 7-5 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together eight or more hits 26 times this season, and has an 18-8 record in those games.
- San Diego is 20-3 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Padres are 15-9 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They have won seven of the 24 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In nine games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-1.
- They have won 26 of the 52 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Miami has won 18 of its 28 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won three of their 14 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Padres vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (+101)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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