The New York Mets (28-27) will look to Francisco Lindor, on a two-game homer streak, against the Philadelphia Phillies (25-29) at 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday, at Citi Field.
The Phillies are a favorite (-120) against the Mets (+102). The contest has a set total of 9.
The betting trends in what follows reflect odds as of May 31, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -120 | +102 | 9 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have been favored 29 times and won 15, or 51.7%, of those games.
- Philadelphia has entered 23 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 12-11 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of 47 games with a total.
- The Phillies are 21-26-0 ATS in their 47 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been victorious in four of the 10 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- New York has a win-loss record of 1-4 when favored by +102 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- New York and its opponents have gone over in 22 of its 48 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 48 games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 15-33-0 against the spread.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- Nola’s team is 4-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up five earned runs in six innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
- Nola has pitched five or more innings in 10 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Nola’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-2).
- Nola’s team is 5-6 when he starts this season.
- In games Nola has started this season, the teams are 6-3-0 at hitting the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Soto | 24 | 22 | 27 | 5.73 | 8 | 1 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 24 | 20 | 22 | 4.05 | 6 | 0 |
| Connor Brogdon | 23 | 27 | 23 | 3.33 | 3 | 0 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 22 | 20 | 32 | 5.85 | 3 | 7 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 15 | 24.1 | 22 | 1.48 | 0 | 0 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Carlos Carrasco
- Carrasco (1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 15 strikeouts in 25 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Mets, his sixth of the season.
- In his most recent outing on Thursday against the Chicago Cubs, the righty threw 6 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering five hits.
- Carrasco is trying for his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.0 innings per start.
- The Mets have always been the moneyline underdog when Carrasco starts this season.
- Carrasco’s team has won three of his five starts.
- Carrasco’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in three of four contests.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 23 | 20.2 | 21 | 4.35 | 6 | 5 |
| David Robertson | 21 | 23.1 | 27 | 1.54 | 5 | 9 |
| Drew Smith | 20 | 18.1 | 23 | 3.93 | 7 | 1 |
| Brooks Raley | 20 | 17 | 17 | 3.18 | 11 | 1 |
| Jeff Brigham | 17 | 18.1 | 22 | 3.44 | 3 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have hit two or more dingers in 15 games this season, and are 10-5 in those outings.
- Philadelphia is 11-3 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 22-15 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- Philadelphia has a 20-3 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Phillies have drawn five or more walks in 18 games this season, and are 13-5 in those contests.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 16 games this season and are 9-7 in those matchups.
- In eight games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 5-3.
- In 34 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 23-11.
- New York has a 24-8 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won seven of their 11 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Phillies vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (+102)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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