Giants vs. Pirates Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 30, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 30, 2023

The Pittsburgh Pirates (26-27) will attempt to stop a three-game losing streak when visiting the San Francisco Giants (28-26) at 9:45 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Giants are favored at home (-129) versus the Pirates (+109). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.

The betting trends in what follows reflect odds as of May 30, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Giants vs Pirates Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Giants -129 +109 8.5

Giants Betting Insights

  • This season, the Giants have been favored 24 times and won 12, or 50%, of those games.
  • San Francisco has a record of 7-9, a 43.8% win rate, when favored by -129 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Giants.
  • So far this season, San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 22 of 47 games with a total.
  • In 47 games with a spread this season, the Giants are 25-22-0 ATS.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.8
HR 13
ERA 2.56
K/9 10.4

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been underdogs in 33 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (36.4%) in those contests.
  • Pittsburgh has a mark of 10-17 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +109 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 47.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Pittsburgh has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 23 of 46 chances this season.
  • The Pirates have posted a record of 22-24-0 against the spread this season.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 11
ERA 5.73
K/9 9.2

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Giants Probable Pitcher – John Brebbia

  • Brebbia and his team are 2-1-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Thursday, when he threw two scoreless innings while allowing two hits to the Milwaukee Brewers.
  • Brebbia’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Brebbia’s team is 2-1 when he starts this season.
  • In Brebbia’s three starts with a total, the teams have hit the over one time.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 24 23.2 35 1.90 0 14
Tyler Rogers 22 27 22 2.00 11 2
Taylor Rogers 20 17.1 17 4.15 3 1
John Brebbia 20 22 31 3.68 7 0
Scott Alexander 19 19.1 10 4.19 3 1

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Juan Carlos Oviedo

  • Oviedo (3-4) takes the mound first for the Pirates in his 11th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.70 ERA in 53 2/3 innings pitched, with 48 strikeouts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday against the Texas Rangers, when he went 5 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Oviedo will try to prolong a five-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 frames per outing).
  • The Pirates have a 1-5 record in Oviedo’s six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • In Oviedo’s 10 starts, his team is 4-6.
  • Oviedo’s starts went over the run total five times in nine games with a set total this season.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Dauri Moreta 20 23.2 35 1.90 2 1
David Bednar 19 20 26 1.35 0 9
Duane Underwood Jr. 19 24.1 14 5.18 3 2
Colin Holderman 19 19.1 25 2.33 9 0
Jose Hernandez 18 22.2 23 2.38 2 0

Giants Hitting Trends

  • The Giants have hit at least two dingers in 27 games this season, and are 13-14 in those outings.
  • San Francisco has gone 7-7 in its 14 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 17-15 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
  • San Francisco is 17-13 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Giants are 9-5 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They have won 14 of the 16 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Pittsburgh has gone 12-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 18 of the 25 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Pittsburgh has a 17-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 11 of their 17 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Giants vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Giants (-129)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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