Mariners vs. Yankees Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 30, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 30, 2023

The New York Yankees (33-23) aim to extend their three-game winning streak when they meet the Seattle Mariners (28-26) on Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET, at T-Mobile Park.

The Mariners are a home favorite (-133) against the Yankees (+114). The contest has an over/under of 7.5.

The betting facts in the following article reference odds valid as of May 30, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mariners vs Yankees Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mariners -133 +114 7.5

Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 33 times this season and won 20, or 60.6%, of those games.
  • Seattle has a record of 15-9, a 62.5% win rate, when favored by -133 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 57.1% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
  • Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 21 of its 46 chances.
  • The Mariners are 21-25-0 ATS in their 46 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 16
ERA 3.70
K/9 9.8

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have been victorious in seven, or 43.8%, of the 16 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, New York has won five of 11 games when listed as at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 46.7% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Contests with New York has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 23 of 49 chances this season.
  • The Yankees are 26-23-0 against the spread in their 49 games that had a posted line this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 17
ERA 3.77
K/9 9.2

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Logan Gilbert

  • When Gilbert starts, his team is 3-5-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw eight innings against the Oakland Athletics, giving up two earned runs while allowing three hits.
  • Gilbert will look to finish five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
  • Gilbert’s team has a record of 3-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Gilbert’s team is 5-5 when he starts this season.
  • In games Gilbert has started this season, the teams are 4-4-0 at hitting the over.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Brash 26 21.2 42 4.57 5 1
Trevor Gott 24 24.2 28 1.82 7 0
Paul Sewald 24 23.1 32 3.09 0 11
Gabe Speier 24 19.1 17 2.79 7 0
Justin Topa 22 20.2 21 3.48 10 1

Yankees Probable Pitcher – Nestor Cortes Jr.

  • Cortes makes the start for the Yankees, his 11th of the season. He is 4-2 with a 5.30 ERA and 53 strikeouts in 54 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His last appearance came on Wednesday against the Baltimore Orioles, when the left-hander threw six innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • Cortes is trying for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.4 innings per start.
  • The Yankees have been the moneyline underdog in three of Cortes’ starts this season, and they went 2-1 in those matchups.
  • Cortes’ team has a 6-4 record in his 10 starts.
  • Cortes has had nine starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in seven of those matchups.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 23 22 21 2.45 5 3
Clay Holmes 22 22 27 2.45 3 5
Ron Marinaccio 22 27 34 4.00 5 1
Jimmy Cordero 20 23.1 24 3.47 4 0
Albert Abreu 20 27.2 29 3.58 3 0

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • The Mariners have hit at least two homers in 18 games this season, and are 13-5 in those outings.
  • Seattle has collected five or more extra-base hits in six games this season, and has gone 5-1 in those outings.
  • The team is 22-13 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
  • Seattle is 28-6 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Mariners have gone 18-3 over the 21 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • They are 28-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • New York has won seven of its eight games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 30-12 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 35 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 26-9.
  • They have a 12-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Mariners vs. Yankees Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-133)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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