The Baltimore Orioles (34-20) and Cleveland Guardians (24-29) clash on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET.
The Orioles are favored (-140 moneyline odds) when they host the Guardians (+120). The over/under for the game is set at 9 total runs.
The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 30, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -140 | +120 | 9 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been favorites in 28 games this season and won 20 (71.4%) of those contests.
- Baltimore has a record of 18-5, a 78.3% win rate, when favored by -140 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
- Games involving Baltimore has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 22 of 47 chances this season.
- In 47 games with a spread this season, the Orioles are 28-19-0 ATS.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.97 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have won in seven, or 38.9%, of the 18 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Cleveland has a win-loss record of 3-4 when favored by +120 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 13 of its 45 opportunities.
- The Guardians are 20-25-0 against the spread in their 45 games that had a posted line this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.24 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Gibson
- When Gibson starts, his team is 5-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed seven innings without allowing a run on two hits in a matchup with the New York Yankees.
- Gibson has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Gibson’s team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-2).
- Gibson’s team has won seven of his 11 starts this season.
- In games Gibson has started this season, the teams are 2-7-0 at hitting the over.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Baker | 24 | 23.1 | 28 | 3.09 | 9 | 0 |
| Michael Baumann | 23 | 27.2 | 30 | 3.58 | 2 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 23 | 26 | 53 | 1.38 | 0 | 13 |
| Cionel Pérez | 22 | 19.2 | 14 | 4.12 | 7 | 0 |
| Danny Coulombe | 22 | 19 | 27 | 2.37 | 10 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Cal Quantrill
- Quantrill gets the start for the Guardians, his 11th of the season. He is 2-3 with a 4.75 ERA and 31 strikeouts in 55 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander’s last time out came on Wednesday against the Chicago White Sox, when he went four innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing four hits.
- Quantrill heads into the matchup with seven outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- The Guardians have a 3-1 record in Quantrill’s four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Quantrill’s team has put together a 6-4 record in his 10 starts.
- Quantrill’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in two of nine contests.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 24 | 25 | 18 | 3.60 | 0 | 17 |
| Trevor Stephan | 23 | 22.1 | 26 | 2.01 | 8 | 2 |
| James Karinchak | 23 | 21.2 | 31 | 4.57 | 9 | 0 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 21 | 20 | 18 | 1.80 | 2 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 18 | 22.1 | 23 | 1.61 | 2 | 1 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles are 16-8 this season in games when they hit at least two bombs.
- Baltimore has gone 13-1 in its 14 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has notched at least eight hits 35 times this season, and has a 23-12 record in those games.
- Baltimore is 26-7 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Orioles are 14-3 over the 17 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They have won four of the six games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In seven games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 3-4.
- They have a record of 13-13 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Cleveland has won 10 of its 13 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won eight of their 16 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Orioles vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-140)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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