The Miami Marlins (28-26) host the San Diego Padres (24-29) to start a three-game series at LoanDepot park, with first pitch at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday. The Marlins are on the back of a series victory over the Angels, and the Padres a series loss to the Yankees.
The Marlins are favored at home (-136) against the Padres (+116). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The betting facts in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 30, 2023 at 3:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Padres Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -136 | +116 | 8.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won 11, or 52.4%, of the 21 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Miami has a record of 5-2 when favored by -136 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 57.6% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- Miami’s games have gone over the total in 20 of its 46 chances.
- The Marlins are 20-26-0 against the spread in their 46 chances this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.66 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been victorious in seven, or 38.9%, of the 18 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- San Diego has a win-loss record of 2-7 when favored by +116 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Padres have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 12 of its 45 opportunities.
- The Padres have an against the spread record of 22-23-0 in 45 games with a line this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.09 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Sandy Alcantara
- Alcantara and his team are 1-7-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs in six innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
- Alcantara will look to finish five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
- When Alcantara starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-4.
- Alcantara’s team is 3-7 when he starts this season.
- In games Alcantara has started this season, the teams are 5-3-0 at hitting the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 24 | 24.1 | 27 | 2.96 | 3 | 1 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 21 | 27.1 | 30 | 3.95 | 8 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 21 | 24 | 23 | 3.38 | 5 | 5 |
| Tanner Scott | 20 | 25 | 34 | 3.60 | 9 | 2 |
| Matt Barnes | 19 | 21 | 20 | 3.43 | 3 | 0 |
Padres Probable Pitcher – Ryan Weathers
- Weathers (1-3) gets the starting nod for the Padres in his sixth start of the season. He has a 3.94 ERA in 29 2/3 innings pitched, with 18 strikeouts.
- His last time out came on Wednesday against the Washington Nationals, when the lefty tossed six innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Weathers is looking for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.2 innings per start.
- The Padres have been the moneyline underdog in three of Weathers’ starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those matchups.
- Weathers’ team has a 2-3 record in his starts this season.
- Weathers’ team has gone under in each of his four starts with a total this season.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 23 | 21.2 | 13 | 4.15 | 6 | 0 |
| Steven Wilson | 22 | 24.1 | 28 | 2.96 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 22 | 22 | 32 | 0.82 | 0 | 13 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 18 | 28.2 | 26 | 3.77 | 3 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 12 | 44.2 | 37 | 2.82 | 3 | 1 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have a 7-17 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Miami has gone 8-1 in its nine games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 26-25 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
- Miami has an 18-10 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Marlins have drawn at least five walks in 13 games this season, and are 3-10 in those contests.
Padres Hitting Trends
- They have won 10 of the 24 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 12 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 7-5.
- They have won 17 of the 25 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 22 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 19-3.
- They have won 14 of their 23 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Marlins vs. Padres Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-136)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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