The Toronto Blue Jays (28-26) and Milwaukee Brewers (28-25) square off in the first of a three-game series on Tuesday at Rogers Centre, at 7:07 PM ET. The Blue Jays are coming off a series victory over the Twins, and the Brewers a series loss to the Giants.
The Brewers are an underdog away (+135) at the Blue Jays (-159). The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.
The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 30, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -159 | +135 | 9 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- This season, the Blue Jays have won 16 out of the 31 games, or 51.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Toronto has a record of 7-7 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -159 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 61.4% chance to win.
- So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 23 of 46 games with a total.
- In 46 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 22-24-0 ATS.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 22 games this year and have walked away with the win 11 times (50%) in those games.
- Milwaukee has a mark of 4-5 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +135 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 42.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over in 20 of its 46 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Brewers are 20-26-0 against the spread in their 46 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.70 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Yusei Kikuchi
- Kikuchi and his team are 6-3-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw five innings against the Tampa Bay Rays, giving up five earned runs while allowing eight hits.
- Kikuchi has six starts of five or more innings this season in 10 chances. He averages 5.1 innings per outing.
- Kikuchi’s team has a record of 4-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Kikuchi’s team has won seven of his 10 starts.
- Out of Kikuchi’s nine starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Swanson | 24 | 25.1 | 33 | 3.20 | 12 | 0 |
| Tim Mayza | 24 | 18.2 | 19 | 0.96 | 4 | 1 |
| Yimi Garcia | 24 | 23.2 | 30 | 6.46 | 7 | 0 |
| Jordan Romano | 21 | 21 | 27 | 3.00 | 1 | 12 |
| Anthony Bass | 19 | 18 | 18 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Adrian Houser
- Houser gets the start for the Brewers, his fifth of the season. He is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 14 strikeouts over 20 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s most recent time out was on Wednesday against the Houston Astros, when he threw 5 1/3 scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
- Houser will try to prolong a three-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.0 frames per outing).
- The Brewers have been the moneyline underdog in three of Houser’s starts this season, and they went 2-1 in those games.
- Houser’s team has a 3-1 record over his four starts.
- Houser has started four contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in one of them.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Strzelecki | 23 | 23.2 | 22 | 4.18 | 13 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 22 | 25.1 | 29 | 2.13 | 7 | 1 |
| Hoby Milner | 22 | 19.2 | 16 | 4.12 | 4 | 0 |
| Devin Williams | 15 | 16.2 | 22 | 0.54 | 0 | 8 |
| Bryse Wilson | 15 | 26.2 | 24 | 2.70 | 2 | 2 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays are 9-6 this season in games when they crush two or more homers.
- Toronto is undefeated in its eight games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has collected eight or more hits 49 times this season, and has a 32-17 record in those games.
- Toronto is 25-8 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Blue Jays have drawn at least five walks in 11 games this season, and are 6-5 in those contests.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They are 26-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in four games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 23 of the 29 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Milwaukee has a 29-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 15 of their 20 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Blue Jays vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-159)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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