Braves vs. Athletics Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 29, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 29, 2023

Matt Olson leads the Atlanta Braves (32-21) into a contest with the Oakland Athletics (10-45) a game after homering twice in an 11-4 victory over the Phillies. It begins at 8:07 PM ET on Monday.

The Braves are heavily favored (-241 on the moneyline to win) when they take on the Athletics (+201). The contest has an over/under of 9.

The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of May 29, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Braves vs Athletics Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Braves -241 +201 9

Braves Betting Insights

  • This season, the Braves have won 23 out of the 39 games, or 59%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Atlanta has entered five games this season favored by -241 or more, and won each of those games.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 70.7% chance to win.
  • Games involving Atlanta has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 28 of 45 chances this season.
  • In 45 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 17-28-0 ATS.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 15
ERA 4.20
K/9 10.1

Athletics Betting Insights

  • The Athletics have won in eight, or 17%, of the 47 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Oakland has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +201 or worse on the moneyline this season.
  • The Athletics have an implied victory probability of 33.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Oakland’s games have gone over the total in 26 of its 48 opportunities.
  • In 48 games with a line this season, the Athletics have a mark of 17-31-0 against the spread.

Athletics Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 0-10
Runs Per Game 1.6
HR 3
ERA 5.64
K/9 7.9

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Braves Probable Pitcher – Mike Soroka

  • The right-hander is making his first start of the year. The 25-year-old did not make an appearance on the mound last season.
  • Soroka did not pitch as the moneyline favorite in any games last season.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
A.J. Minter 24 24 30 7.13 0 7
Jesse Chávez 22 23.1 28 1.93 10 1
Nick Anderson 20 22.1 27 3.63 8 1
Joe Jiménez 18 17.2 23 4.58 2 0
Kirby Yates 17 18.1 24 3.44 3 0

Athletics Probable Pitcher – Paul Blackburn

  • Blackburn makes his first start of the season for the Athletics.
  • The 29-year-old righty started and threw five innings in his last appearance on Thursday, Aug. 4 against the Los Angeles Angels.
  • Blackburn and his team went 8-11 in games he appeared in when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.
  • When he pitched in a game last season, his team posted a record of 10-11.
  • The games he pitched went over the run total set by bookmakers in 10 of 21 opportunities last season.

Athletics Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Sam Moll 21 18.2 18 4.82 4 0
Richard Lovelady 16 15.1 16 2.35 2 0
Trevor May 11 10 8 8.10 0 0
Sam Long 11 17 12 3.71 0 0
Shintaro Fujinami 10 28.2 30 12.24 0 0

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves are 18-8 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
  • Atlanta has won each of its 12 games this season when putting up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 26-13 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
  • Atlanta is 26-6 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Braves are 10-8 in the 18 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Athletics Hitting Trends

  • They are 11-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Oakland has gone 9-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 26 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 12-14.
  • Oakland has won 12 of its 20 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 9-8 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Braves vs. Athletics Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (-241)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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