The Seattle Mariners (28-25) host the New York Yankees (32-23) to start a three-game series at T-Mobile Park, with first pitch at 9:40 PM ET on Monday. The Mariners are on the back of a series victory over the Pirates, and the Yankees a series win over the Padres.
The Mariners are favored (-134 on the moneyline to win) when they host the Yankees (+115). The matchup has an over/under of 7.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of May 29, 2023 at 9:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -134 | +115 | 7.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- This season, the Mariners have been favored 32 times and won 20, or 62.5%, of those games.
- Seattle has a record of 15-9 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -134 on the moneyline.
- The Mariners have a 57.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 20 of its 45 chances.
- The Mariners are 21-24-0 against the spread in their 45 chances this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.34 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have won in six, or 40%, of the 15 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- New York has a mark of 5-5 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +115 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 22 of its 48 opportunities.
- The Yankees have posted a record of 25-23-0 against the spread this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.58 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Bryce Miller
- Miller’s team is 3-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander did not allow a run in six innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
- Miller will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
- Miller and his team have won each of the four games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- In games Miller has started, his team is 4-1.
- The teams have not yet hit the over in any of the five games Miller has started this season.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 26 | 21.2 | 42 | 4.57 | 5 | 1 |
| Trevor Gott | 24 | 24.2 | 28 | 1.82 | 7 | 0 |
| Paul Sewald | 24 | 23.1 | 32 | 3.09 | 0 | 11 |
| Gabe Speier | 24 | 19.1 | 17 | 2.79 | 7 | 0 |
| Justin Topa | 22 | 20.2 | 21 | 3.48 | 10 | 1 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Domingo German
- The Yankees are sending German (2-3) to the mound for his 10th start of the season. He is 2-3 with a 3.75 ERA and 49 strikeouts in 48 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last time out came on Tuesday, May 16 against the Toronto Blue Jays, when the righty tossed three scoreless innings without giving up a hit.
- German has pitched five or more innings in a game six times this year heading into this game.
- The Yankees are 2-1 in Germán’s three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Germán’s team has won four of his nine starts.
- Germán’s starts hit the over on the run total three times in eight games with a set total this season.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 23 | 22 | 21 | 2.45 | 5 | 3 |
| Clay Holmes | 22 | 22 | 27 | 2.45 | 3 | 5 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 21 | 26.1 | 32 | 4.10 | 5 | 1 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 20 | 23.1 | 24 | 3.47 | 4 | 0 |
| Albert Abreu | 19 | 25.2 | 26 | 3.86 | 3 | 0 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners are 13-5 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- Seattle has collected at least five extra-base hits in six games this season, and has gone 5-1 in those outings.
- The club has collected at least eight hits in 35 games this season, and is 22-13 in those contests.
- Seattle is 28-6 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mariners are 18-3 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They are 27-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In seven games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 6-1.
- They have won 29 of the 41 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 34 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 25-9.
- They have a 12-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mariners vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-134)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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