Giants vs. Pirates Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 29, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 28, 2023

The San Francisco Giants (27-26) and Pittsburgh Pirates (26-26) square off on Monday at 5:05 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at Oracle Park.

The Giants are favored (-138 on the moneyline to win) when they host the Pirates (+117). The total for this game is set at 8.

The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of May 29, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Giants vs Pirates Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Giants -138 +117 8

Giants Betting Insights

  • This season, the Giants have been favored 23 times and won 11, or 47.8%, of those games.
  • San Francisco is 4-9 this season when entering a game favored by -138 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Giants, based on the moneyline, is 58%.
  • San Francisco’s games have gone over the total in 21 of its 46 chances.
  • In 46 games with a spread this season, the Giants are 24-22-0 ATS.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 11
ERA 2.45
K/9 11.1

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have won in 12, or 37.5%, of the 32 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, Pittsburgh has won nine of 23 games when listed as at least +117 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 46.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 22 of its 45 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Pirates have an against the spread record of 22-23-0 in 45 games with a line this season.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 10
ERA 4.25
K/9 10.2

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Giants Probable Pitcher – Anthony DeSclafani

  • DeSclafani and his team have a record of 4-5-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed six hits in five innings pitched against the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday.
  • DeSclafani has 10 starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • DeSclafani’s team has won 40% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-3).
  • DeSclafani’s team is 5-5 when he starts this season.
  • Games started by DeSclafani have a 4-5-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 24 23.2 35 1.90 0 14
Tyler Rogers 22 27 22 2.00 11 2
John Brebbia 20 22 31 3.68 7 0
Scott Alexander 19 19.1 10 4.19 3 1
Taylor Rogers 19 16.1 16 4.41 3 1

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Rich Hill

  • Hill (4-4 with a 4.44 ERA and 52 strikeouts in 52 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Pirates, his 11th of the season.
  • His last appearance came on Tuesday against the Texas Rangers, when the lefty tossed 5 1/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • Hill will aim to last five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
  • The Pirates have a 2-3 record in Hill’s five starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • In Hill’s 10 starts, his team is 5-5.
  • Hill has had eight starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in two of those games.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Dauri Moreta 20 23.2 35 1.90 2 1
Colin Holderman 19 19.1 25 2.33 9 0
David Bednar 19 20 26 1.35 0 9
Duane Underwood Jr. 19 24.1 14 5.18 3 2
Jose Hernandez 18 22.2 23 2.38 2 0

Giants Hitting Trends

  • The Giants have a 12-14 record this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
  • San Francisco has collected five or more extra-base hits in 13 games this season, and has gone 6-7 in those outings.
  • The club has strung together at least eight hits in 31 games this season, and is 16-15 in those contests.
  • San Francisco is 16-13 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Giants are 9-5 in the 14 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 15 games this season and are 14-1 in those matchups.
  • Pittsburgh is undefeated in 12 games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 24 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 18-6.
  • In 19 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 17-2.
  • They have a 11-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Giants vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Giants (-138)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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