Angels vs. Marlins Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 28, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 28, 2023

The Miami Marlins (27-26) will look to sweep the Los Angeles Angels (28-25) at Angel Stadium of Anaheim on Sunday, at 4:07 PM ET.

The Angels are favored at home (-128) against the Marlins (+109). The total for this game is 9.

The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 28, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Angels vs Marlins Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Angels -128 +109 9

Angels Betting Insights

  • The Angels have entered the game as favorites 27 times this season and won 14, or 51.9%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has entered 19 games this season favored by -128 or more and is 11-8 in those contests.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Angels have a 56.1% chance to win.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 23 of 46 opportunities.
  • In 46 games with a spread this season, the Angels are 23-23-0 ATS.

Angels Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 13
ERA 3.30
K/9 9.5

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have been victorious in 13, or 54.2%, of the 24 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Miami has a mark of 11-9 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +109 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 47.8% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of its 45 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Marlins are 19-26-0 against the spread in their 45 games that had a posted line this season.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 13
ERA 3.98
K/9 8.7

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Angels Probable Pitcher – Patrick Sandoval

  • Sandoval’s team is 4-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The left-hander gave up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Sunday, May 21 in his last outing, a matchup with the Minnesota Twins.
  • Sandoval has started nine games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings six times. He averages 5.5 innings per appearance.
  • When Sandoval starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 1-2.
  • Sandoval’s team has won four of his nine starts.
  • Out of Sandoval’s seven starts with a total this season, three have hit the over.

Angels Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Moore 21 25 21 1.44 12 0
Carlos Estévez 21 23 32 1.17 2 12
Aaron Loup 13 10.1 8 7.84 4 0
Chris Devenski 12 15.2 16 2.87 4 0
Tucker Davidson 11 20 21 6.30 0 1

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Eury Perez

  • Perez (1-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 16 strikeouts in 14 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Marlins, his fourth of the season.
  • The righty last appeared on Wednesday against the Colorado Rockies, when he tossed 4 1/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • Perez is trying to pick up his second start of five or more innings this year in this game.
  • The Marlins have always been the moneyline underdog when Perez starts this season.
  • Perez’s team has a 1-2 record in his starts this season.
  • Perez has started three games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in one of them.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Andrew Nardi 23 23.2 26 3.04 2 1
Dylan Floro 21 24 23 3.38 5 5
Huascar Brazoban 21 27.1 30 3.95 8 0
Tanner Scott 19 23.2 31 3.80 8 2
Matt Barnes 18 20.2 19 3.48 2 0

Angels Hitting Trends

  • The Angels are 11-7 this season in games when they send out two or more bombs.
  • Los Angeles has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 11 games this season, and has gone 8-3 in those outings.
  • The team has notched at least eight hits 38 times this season, and has a 24-14 record in those games.
  • Los Angeles is 23-8 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Angels have drawn at least five walks in 13 games this season, and are 7-6 in those contests.

Marlins Hitting Trends

  • They have won seven of the 24 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Miami has gone 8-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 25-25 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Miami has a 18-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 13 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 3-10

Angels vs. Marlins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Angels (-128)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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