Mets vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 28, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 28, 2023

The New York Mets (27-26) visit the Colorado Rockies (23-30) at 3:10 PM ET on Sunday, with both teams hoping to win the series.

The Rockies are an underdog (+118 moneyline odds to win) when they square off against the Mets (-139). The matchup has an over/under set at 13 total runs.

The betting facts in this article use the latest odds as of May 28, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mets vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mets -139 +118 13

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets have entered the game as favorites 36 times this season and won 19, or 52.8%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 12-16, a 42.9% win rate, when favored by -139 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 58.2% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of 46 opportunities.
  • In 46 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 14-32-0 ATS.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 16
ERA 4.35
K/9 8.1

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have come away with 18 wins in the 38 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Colorado has come away with a win 12 times in 29 chances when named as an underdog of at least +118 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 45.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Colorado’s games have gone over the total in 19 of its 45 opportunities.
  • The Rockies are 23-22-0 against the spread in their 45 games that had a posted line this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 6
ERA 6.93
K/9 6.1

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Tylor Megill

  • Megill and his team are 3-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up four earned runs in 3 2/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
  • Megill has made seven starts of five or more innings in 10 chances this season, and averages 5.0 frames when he pitches.
  • Megill’s team has a record of 2-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Megill’s team has a 6-4 record in his starts this season.
  • In Megill’s eight starts with a total, the teams have hit the over one time.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Adam Ottavino 22 19.2 20 4.58 5 5
Drew Smith 20 18.1 23 3.93 7 1
David Robertson 20 22.1 26 1.61 5 8
Brooks Raley 19 16.2 16 3.24 11 1
Jeff Brigham 16 17.1 21 3.63 3 0

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Austin Gomber

  • The Rockies will send Gomber (4-4) to the mound to make his 11th start of the season. He is 4-4 with a 6.48 ERA and 31 strikeouts over 50 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The lefty last appeared on Wednesday against the Miami Marlins, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • Gomber is trying to record his seventh start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
  • The Rockies have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Gomber’s starts this season, and they went 4-3 in those matchups.
  • Gomber’s team has won five of his 10 starts.
  • Gomber has had nine starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in four of those outings.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jake Bird 23 34.2 36 2.86 2 0
Pierce Johnson 22 21.2 29 6.23 0 11
Justin Lawrence 22 28.1 32 2.22 6 0
Brent Suter 21 31.2 28 1.99 2 0
Brad Hand 20 18.2 26 3.37 1 0

Mets Hitting Trends

  • The Mets have hit two or more round-trippers in 15 games this season, and are 9-6 in those outings.
  • New York has gone 5-2 in its seven games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has notched eight or more hits 33 times this season, and has a 23-10 record in those games.
  • New York is 24-7 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Mets are 7-3 in the 10 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in nine games this season and are 7-2 in those matchups.
  • In 15 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-7.
  • They have a record of 19-17 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 22 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 18-4.
  • They have a 6-2 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Mets vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rockies (+118)
Over/Under Pick: Under (13)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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