Orioles vs. Rangers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 28, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 27, 2023

The Texas Rangers (33-18) will look to sweep a three-game series versus the Baltimore Orioles (33-19), at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday.

The Rangers are road underdogs (+125) at the Orioles (-147). The over/under in the game is 9 total runs.

The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 28, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Orioles vs Rangers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Orioles -147 +125 9

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have been favorites in 26 games this season and won 19 (73.1%) of those contests.
  • Baltimore has a record of 15-4 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -147 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.5% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
  • Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 22 of its 45 chances.
  • The Orioles are 28-17-0 against the spread in their 45 chances this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 14
ERA 4.16
K/9 9.3

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have been underdogs in 19 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (63.2%) in those contests.
  • Texas has a mark of 5-5 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +125 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Texas and its opponents have gone over in 27 of its 44 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Rangers have posted a record of 30-14-0 against the spread this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 7.3
HR 16
ERA 3.34
K/9 7.2

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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Bradish

  • Bradish and his team are 6-1-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed seven hits in five innings against the New York Yankees.
  • Bradish will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
  • Bradish’s team has won 80% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-1).
  • Bradish’s team is 5-3 when he starts this season.
  • In Bradish’s seven starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Bryan Baker 24 23.1 28 3.09 9 0
Michael Baumann 22 27 29 3.67 2 0
Felix Bautista 22 25 50 1.44 0 12
Danny Coulombe 21 18.2 27 2.41 10 0
Cionel Pérez 21 19.1 14 3.26 7 0

Rangers Probable Pitcher – Cody Bradford

  • Bradford (0-1) pitches first for the Rangers to make his second start of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, May 16 against the Atlanta Braves, when he threw five innings, allowing six earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • The Rangers were the underdog on the moneyline for one Bradford start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Bradford’s only start with a total this season went over.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jonathan Hernández 20 18.2 20 6.27 8 0
Will Smith 17 18 22 3.50 4 9
Brock Burke 16 20.1 15 3.54 6 0
José Leclerc 15 14.1 15 3.77 1 1
Josh Sborz 12 16 21 5.06 3 0

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • The Orioles have racked up two or more homers in 24 games this season, and are 16-8 in those contests.
  • Baltimore has put up at least five extra-base hits in 14 games this season, and has gone 13-1 in those contests.
  • The team has collected at least eight hits 35 times this season, and has a 23-12 record in those games.
  • Baltimore is 26-7 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Orioles have gone 14-3 over the 17 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • They have won 21 of the 26 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Texas has won 12 of its 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 36-12 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Texas has won 33 of its 44 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 22 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-9

Orioles vs. Rangers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (+125)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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