Giants vs. Brewers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 28, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 27, 2023

The San Francisco Giants (27-25) ride a three-game winning streak into a road matchup versus the Milwaukee Brewers (27-25) at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday.

The Brewers (+108 underdog on the moneyline) play at home against the Giants (-127). The matchup has an over/under of 8 total runs.

The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of May 28, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Giants vs Brewers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Giants -127 +108 8

Giants Betting Insights

  • This season, the Giants have been favored 22 times and won 11, or 50%, of those games.
  • San Francisco has a record of 6-9, a 40% win rate, when favored by -127 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Giants have a 55.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • San Francisco’s games have gone over the total in 20 of its 45 chances.
  • The Giants are 24-21-0 against the spread in their 45 chances this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 9
ERA 2.12
K/9 11.0

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have been underdogs in 21 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (47.6%) in those contests.
  • This season, Milwaukee has come away with a win nine times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +108 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 48.1% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over in 19 of its 45 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Brewers are 19-26-0 against the spread in their 45 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.4
HR 11
ERA 4.66
K/9 8.8

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Giants Probable Pitcher – Alex Cobb

  • Cobb’s team is 6-2-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in seven innings against the Minnesota Twins.
  • Cobb has seven starts of five or more innings this season in 10 chances. He averages 5.8 innings per outing.
  • Cobb’s team has won each of the three games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
  • Cobb’s team has won seven of his 10 starts.
  • Games Cobb has started this season hit the over one time in eight chances.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 24 23.2 35 1.90 0 14
Tyler Rogers 22 27 22 2.00 11 2
John Brebbia 20 22 31 3.68 7 0
Scott Alexander 19 19.1 10 4.19 3 1
Taylor Rogers 19 16.1 16 4.41 3 1

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Colin Rea

  • The Brewers are sending Rea (1-3) out for his eighth start of the season. He is 1-3 with a 4.71 ERA and 29 strikeouts in 36 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last pitched on Tuesday against the Houston Astros, when he tossed 5 1/3 scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
  • Rea is trying to pick up his seventh start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
  • The Brewers are 3-1 in Rea’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Rea’s team has a 4-3 record in his starts this season.
  • Rea has had seven starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in two of those outings.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Peter Strzelecki 22 23 21 4.30 12 0
Hoby Milner 22 19.2 16 4.12 4 0
Joel Payamps 21 24.1 28 2.22 6 1
Bryse Wilson 15 26.2 24 2.70 2 2
Devin Williams 14 15.1 19 0.59 0 7

Giants Hitting Trends

  • The Giants have hit at least two dingers in 25 games this season, and are 12-13 in those outings.
  • San Francisco has gone 6-7 in its 13 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has strung together eight or more hits in 31 games this season, and is 16-15 in those contests.
  • San Francisco is 16-12 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Giants are 9-5 over the 14 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 31 games this season and are 26-5 in those matchups.
  • Milwaukee has collected five or more extra-base hits in four games this season and won each of them.
  • They have won 23 of the 29 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Milwaukee has won 28 of its 30 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 15-5 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Giants vs. Brewers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Brewers (+108)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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