The Seattle Mariners (27-25) and Pittsburgh Pirates (26-25) play on Sunday at 4:10 PM ET at T-Mobile Park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The Pirates are road underdogs (+114) against the Mariners (-134). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in this article reference odds valid as of May 28, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -134 | +114 | 8.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have won 19, or 61.3%, of the 31 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Seattle has won 14 of its 23 games, or 60.9%, when favored by at least -134 on the moneyline.
- The Mariners have a 57.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 19 of its 44 chances.
- The Mariners are 20-24-0 against the spread in their 44 chances this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.34 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 31 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (38.7%) in those games.
- Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 10-13 when favored by +114 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 46.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Contests with Pittsburgh has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 21 of 44 chances this season.
- The Pirates are 22-22-0 against the spread in their 44 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.09 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Marco Gonzales
- When Gonzales starts, his team is 5-3-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up two earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
- Gonzales has seven starts of five or more innings this season in nine chances. He averages 4.9 innings per outing.
- Gonzales’ team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-1).
- Gonzales’ team is 6-3 when he starts this season.
- In games Gonzales has started this season, the teams are 4-4-0 at hitting the over.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 25 | 21.1 | 41 | 4.64 | 4 | 1 |
| Trevor Gott | 23 | 23.2 | 28 | 1.90 | 7 | 0 |
| Paul Sewald | 23 | 22.2 | 30 | 3.18 | 0 | 11 |
| Gabe Speier | 23 | 18.1 | 16 | 2.95 | 6 | 0 |
| Justin Topa | 21 | 20.1 | 20 | 2.66 | 9 | 1 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Luis Ortiz
- Ortiz (1-2) takes the mound first for the Pirates in his fourth start of the season. He has a 4.02 ERA in 15 2/3 innings pitched, with eight strikeouts.
- In his last time out on Monday, the righty threw 7 2/3 innings against the Texas Rangers, allowing two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Ortiz will try to record his third matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per appearance.
- The Pirates were named the moneyline underdog for two Ortiz starts this season — they split the games.
- Ortiz’s team has a 1-2 record in his starts this season.
- Ortiz’s starts went over the run total two times in three games with a set total this season.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 20 | 23.2 | 35 | 1.90 | 2 | 1 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
| Jose Hernandez | 18 | 22.2 | 23 | 2.38 | 2 | 0 |
| Colin Holderman | 18 | 18.1 | 23 | 2.45 | 9 | 0 |
| David Bednar | 18 | 19 | 25 | 1.42 | 0 | 9 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have a 12-5 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
- Seattle is 5-1 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has notched at least eight hits in 35 games this season, and is 22-13 in those contests.
- Seattle is 27-6 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Mariners are 17-3 in the 20 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 15 games this season and are 14-1 in those matchups.
- Pittsburgh has collected five or more extra-base hits in 12 games this season and won each of them.
- They have won 18 of the 24 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Pittsburgh has won 17 of its 19 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 11 of their 16 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Mariners vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-134)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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