Austin Riley takes a 10-game hitting streak into the Atlanta Braves’ (31-21) game against the Philadelphia Phillies (25-27) at 7:10 PM ET on Sunday, at Truist Park.
The Phillies are an underdog (+217 on the moneyline) when they visit the Braves (-259). The matchup has an over/under set at 9 total runs.
The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of May 28, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -259 | +217 | 9 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have been favorites in 38 games this season and won 22 (57.9%) of those contests.
- Atlanta has played as favorites of -259 or more twice this season and won both games.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 72.1% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 27 of 44 games with a total.
- In 44 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 16-28-0 ATS.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 10.2 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been underdogs in 14 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (50%) in those contests.
- This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have given Philadelphia this season with a +217 moneyline set for this game.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 31.5% chance of walking away with the win.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of its 45 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Phillies have an against the spread record of 21-24-0 in 45 games with a line this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- When Strider starts, his team is 2-6-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up two earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Strider has 10 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Strider’s team has been victorious in 75% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-2.
- In games Strider has started, his team is 8-2.
- Out of Strider’s eight starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 24 | 24 | 30 | 7.13 | 0 | 7 |
| Jesse Chávez | 22 | 23.1 | 28 | 1.93 | 10 | 1 |
| Nick Anderson | 20 | 22.1 | 27 | 3.63 | 8 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 18 | 17.2 | 23 | 4.58 | 2 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 17 | 18.1 | 24 | 3.44 | 3 | 0 |
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Dylan Covey
- Covey takes the mound for his first start of the season for the Phillies.
- The 31-year-old righty has pitched out of the bullpen two times this season.
- Covey’s team was never a moneyline underdog a season ago in games he pitched.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seranthony Domínguez | 24 | 20 | 22 | 4.05 | 6 | 0 |
| Gregory Soto | 24 | 22 | 27 | 5.73 | 8 | 1 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 22 | 20 | 32 | 5.85 | 3 | 7 |
| Connor Brogdon | 21 | 25.2 | 23 | 2.45 | 3 | 0 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 14 | 22.1 | 20 | 1.21 | 0 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have put up at least two home runs in 25 games this season, and are 17-8 in those contests.
- Atlanta is undefeated in its 11 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 25-13 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Atlanta is 25-6 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Braves are 10-8 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Phillies Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 14 games this season and are 10-4 in those matchups.
- Philadelphia has won 11 of its 13 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 22-15 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Philadelphia has won 20 of its 23 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 13 of their 18 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Braves vs. Phillies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-259)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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