The Toronto Blue Jays (27-26) are looking for another big outing from a hitter on a hot streak against the Minnesota Twins (27-25) on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET, at Target Field. Bo Bichette is on a two-game homer streak.
Oddsmakers project the Twins as a close favorite (-110 on the moneyline) against the Blue Jays (-108). The game’s over/under is 8.5.
The betting trends in what follows use the latest odds as of May 28, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Blue Jays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -110 | -108 | 8.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have won 17 out of the 27 games, or 63%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Minnesota has won 17 of its 27 games, or 63%, when favored by at least -110 on the moneyline.
- The Twins have a 52.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 20 of its 45 chances.
- The Twins are 21-24-0 against the spread in their 45 chances this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.83 |
| K/9 | 10.4 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have come away with seven wins in the 15 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Toronto has a mark of 6-8 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -108 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 51.9% chance of pulling out a win.
- Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 23 of its 45 opportunities.
- The Blue Jays are 21-24-0 against the spread in their 45 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 4.65 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Bailey Ober
- Ober and his team are 4-2-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs in five innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
- Ober has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Ober’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-2).
- Ober’s team has won four of his six starts this season.
- In the six games Ober has started this season, the teams combined to hit the under on the point total each time.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 22 | 21.1 | 25 | 4.64 | 6 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 22 | 22 | 19 | 3.68 | 6 | 3 |
| Jhoan Duran | 19 | 19.1 | 26 | 1.40 | 0 | 7 |
| Jovani Moran | 18 | 23 | 27 | 3.91 | 6 | 0 |
| Emilio Pagán | 17 | 21.2 | 23 | 4.57 | 0 | 0 |
Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Jose Berrios
- Berrios (4-4) gets the starting nod for the Blue Jays in his 11th start of the season. He has a 4.22 ERA in 59 2/3 innings pitched, with 57 strikeouts.
- The righty’s last time out was on Tuesday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he went seven innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing five hits.
- Berrios is looking for his ninth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.9 frames per start.
- The Blue Jays have been the underdog on the moneyline in three of Berrios’ starts this season, and they went 2-1 in those matchups.
- Berrios’ team has a 5-5 record in his starts this season.
- Berrios has started nine contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in four of them.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yimi Garcia | 24 | 23.2 | 30 | 6.46 | 7 | 0 |
| Tim Mayza | 24 | 18.2 | 19 | 0.96 | 4 | 1 |
| Erik Swanson | 23 | 24 | 30 | 3.38 | 11 | 0 |
| Jordan Romano | 20 | 20 | 24 | 3.15 | 1 | 11 |
| Anthony Bass | 19 | 18 | 18 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have hit at least two round-trippers in 31 games this season, and are 26-5 in those outings.
- Minnesota has won each of its 19 games this season when putting up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 30-7 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- Minnesota has a 31-3 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Twins have gone 13-7 over the 20 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- They are 9-6 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Toronto has won each of its eight games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- In 49 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 32-17.
- Toronto has won 25 of its 33 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 6-5 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Twins vs. Blue Jays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-110)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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