The Pittsburgh Pirates (26-24) meet the Seattle Mariners (26-25), a game after Jack Suwinski went deep twice in an 11-6 victory over the Mariners, at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Mariners are a home favorite (-227) against the Pirates (+191). The over/under for this game is set at 7.5.
The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 27, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -227 | +191 | 7.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 30 times this season and won 18, or 60%, of those games.
- Seattle is undefeated in six games this season when favored by -227 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 69.4% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
- Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 19 of 43 opportunities.
- The Mariners are 19-24-0 ATS in their 43 games with a spread this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.13 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have come away with 12 wins in the 30 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Pittsburgh has played as an underdog of +191 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 34.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of its 43 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Pirates have posted a record of 22-21-0 against the spread this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.64 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo
- When Castillo starts, his team is 1-7-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander allowed four hits in six scoreless innings pitched against the Oakland Athletics on Tuesday.
- Castillo has pitched five or more innings in 10 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Castillo’s team has won 42.9% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-4).
- Castillo’s team is 5-5 when he starts this season.
- Out of Castillo’s eight starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 24 | 21 | 40 | 4.71 | 4 | 1 |
| Paul Sewald | 23 | 22.2 | 30 | 3.18 | 0 | 11 |
| Gabe Speier | 22 | 17.2 | 15 | 3.06 | 6 | 0 |
| Trevor Gott | 22 | 22.2 | 26 | 1.99 | 7 | 0 |
| Justin Topa | 20 | 19.1 | 17 | 2.79 | 9 | 1 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Vince Velasquez
- Velasquez gets the start for the Pirates, his eighth of the season. He is 4-3 with a 3.06 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 35 1/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance came on Thursday, May 4 against the Tampa Bay Rays, when the righty tossed three innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing two hits.
- Velasquez will look to secure his fifth matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.0 innings per appearance.
- The Pirates are 3-2 in Velásquez’s five starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Over Velásquez’s seven starts, his team is 4-3.
- Velasquez has had six starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in two of those outings.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 19 | 22.1 | 33 | 2.01 | 2 | 1 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
| Colin Holderman | 18 | 18.1 | 23 | 2.45 | 9 | 0 |
| Jose Hernandez | 17 | 19.2 | 21 | 2.75 | 2 | 0 |
| David Bednar | 17 | 18 | 24 | 1.50 | 0 | 9 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have a 12-5 record this season in games when they smash two or more home runs.
- Seattle has gone 4-1 in its five games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 21-13 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Seattle is 26-6 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Mariners have drawn five or more walks in 20 games this season, and are 17-3 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 15 games this season and are 14-1 in those matchups.
- Pittsburgh is undefeated in 12 games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 24 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 18-6.
- Pittsburgh has a 17-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 11-5 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mariners vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-227)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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