The New York Yankees (30-23) will aim to stop a three-game losing streak when hosting the San Diego Padres (24-27) at 1:05 PM ET on Saturday.
The Padres (+134 underdog on the moneyline to win) visit the Yankees (-158). The total in the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The insights in this article reference odds valid as of May 27, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Padres Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -158 | +134 | 8.5 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have been favorites in 31 games this season and won 20 (64.5%) of those contests.
- New York has a record of 11-2, a 84.6% win rate, when favored by -158 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The Yankees have a 61.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of 46 opportunities.
- The Yankees are 24-22-0 against the spread this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.33 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been underdogs in 16 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (43.8%) in those contests.
- San Diego has been listed as an underdog of +134 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
- The Padres have an implied victory probability of 42.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 11 of its 43 opportunities.
- The Padres are 21-22-0 against the spread in their 43 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.34 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Luis Severino
- Severino helped his team cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits against the Cincinnati Reds.
- Severino’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Severino’s team won in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Severino with a total this season hit the under.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 22 | 20.2 | 21 | 2.61 | 5 | 3 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 20 | 25.1 | 31 | 4.26 | 4 | 1 |
| Clay Holmes | 20 | 20 | 26 | 2.25 | 3 | 5 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 19 | 22.1 | 22 | 3.63 | 3 | 0 |
| Albert Abreu | 19 | 25.2 | 26 | 3.86 | 3 | 0 |
Padres Probable Pitcher – Michael Wacha
- The Padres are sending Wacha (5-1) to make his 10th start of the season. He is 5-1 with a 3.58 ERA and 45 strikeouts in 50 1/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s last appearance was on Sunday against the Boston Red Sox, when he tossed six scoreless innings while allowing five hits.
- Wacha is aiming for his sixth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.6 frames per start.
- The Padres won each of Wacha’s three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Wacha’s team is 7-2 in his nine starts.
- Wacha has started eight games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in two of them.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 23 | 21.2 | 13 | 4.15 | 6 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 22 | 22 | 32 | 0.82 | 0 | 13 |
| Steven Wilson | 22 | 24.1 | 28 | 2.96 | 9 | 0 |
| Luís Garcia | 20 | 19.1 | 20 | 4.66 | 7 | 0 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 17 | 26.2 | 23 | 3.37 | 3 | 0 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees have put up two or more homers in 36 games this season, and are 26-10 in those contests.
- New York has had at least five extra-base hits in six games this season, and has gone 5-1 in those outings.
- The team has notched eight or more hits in 39 games this season, and is 27-12 in those contests.
- New York is 24-9 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Yankees are 12-6 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Padres Hitting Trends
- They are 10-13 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 12 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 7-5.
- In 25 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 17-8.
- San Diego has a 19-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 21 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 14-7
Yankees vs. Padres Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-158)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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