The Arizona Diamondbacks (29-22) will look for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to extend a 14-game hitting streak versus the Boston Red Sox (27-24), on Saturday at 7:15 PM ET, at Chase Field.
The Red Sox are a close favorite (-111 to win on the moneyline) when they meet the Diamondbacks (-106). The total in the game is set at 9 total runs.
The betting trends in the article below reference odds valid as of May 27, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -111 | -106 | 9 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- This season, the Red Sox have won eight out of the 13 games, or 61.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Boston is 8-5 this season when entering a game favored by -111 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.6% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 27 of 44 opportunities.
- The Red Sox have an ATS record of 27-17-0 in 44 games with a spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.66 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have won in 13, or 59.1%, of the 22 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Arizona has come away with a win 12 times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 51.5% chance of walking away with the win.
- Arizona and its opponents have gone over in 22 of its 43 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Diamondbacks are 24-19-0 against the spread in their 43 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.05 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Garrett Whitlock
- Whitlock’s team is 2-1-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, April 22, when he threw four innings, giving up five earned runs while allowing eight hits against the Milwaukee Brewers.
- Whitlock’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Whitlock’s team has won one of his three starts this season.
- In Whitlock’s three starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | 18 | 21 | 18 | 7.29 | 1 | 1 |
| Josh Winckowski | 17 | 32.1 | 23 | 2.23 | 7 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 14 | 14.2 | 17 | 3.68 | 0 | 10 |
| Chris Martin | 13 | 13 | 9 | 1.38 | 8 | 0 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 10 | 13.1 | 11 | 3.38 | 0 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Zach Davies
- Davies (0-0) makes the start for the Diamondbacks, his third of the season.
- The righty last pitched on Sunday, April 9 against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he went 4 1/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Davies is trying to pick up his second start of five or more innings this season in this game.
- The Diamondbacks were the moneyline underdog for one Davies start this season — they won.
- His team has won both of the matchups he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Davies’ only start with a total this season went over.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 22 | 25.2 | 26 | 3.86 | 10 | 1 |
| Miguel Castro | 21 | 22.1 | 20 | 2.42 | 8 | 4 |
| Andrew Chafin | 21 | 19.1 | 29 | 3.26 | 5 | 7 |
| Kyle Nelson | 20 | 19.1 | 22 | 2.33 | 5 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 20 | 23.1 | 21 | 3.09 | 1 | 0 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox have hit at least two home runs in 19 games this season, and are 12-7 in those outings.
- Boston is 11-6 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 21-16 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
- Boston is 24-7 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Red Sox are 9-7 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 22 games this season and are 16-6 in those matchups.
- Arizona has won 13 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 31-10 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Arizona has a 30-6 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 22 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 11-11
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-106)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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