Royals vs. Nationals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 27, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 27, 2023

Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals (15-37) into a matchup versus the Washington Nationals (22-29) following his two-homer performance in a 12-10 defeat to the Nationals. It starts at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.

The Royals are favored (-119 moneyline odds) when they take on the Nationals (+102). The matchup has an over/under set at 9.5 total runs.

The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of May 27, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Royals vs Nationals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Royals -119 +102 9.5

Royals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Royals have been favored seven times and won one of those games.
  • Kansas City has played as favorites of -119 or more twice this season and lost both games.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 54.3% chance to win.
  • Games involving Kansas City has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 21 of 44 chances this season.
  • In 44 games with a spread this season, the Royals are 17-27-0 ATS.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 8
ERA 4.66
K/9 9.0

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals have won in 18, or 43.9%, of the 41 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Washington has a mark of 17-22 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Washington and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of its 43 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Nationals have posted a record of 29-14-0 against the spread this season.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 12
ERA 5.28
K/9 8.0

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Royals Probable Pitcher – Brady Singer

  • Singer and his team have a record of 4-5-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up five earned runs in 3 2/3 innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
  • In 10 starts, Singer has pitched through or past the fifth inning seven times. He has a season average of 4.9 frames per outing.
  • Singer’s team is 1-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Singer’s team has a 5-5 record in his starts this season.
  • Out of Singer’s nine starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jose Cuas 21 22.2 30 5.16 1 0
Amir Garrett 20 20 22 3.15 0 0
Taylor Clarke 19 23.2 29 3.42 5 0
Aroldis Chapman 18 18.2 31 2.89 6 2
Scott Barlow 16 19 27 4.26 0 6

Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josiah Gray

  • The Nationals are sending Gray (4-5) out for his 11th start of the season. He is 4-5 with a 2.65 ERA and 47 strikeouts through 57 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last appearance came on Sunday against the Detroit Tigers, when the righty threw five innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up three hits.
  • Gray is aiming for his 11th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.7 frames per start.
  • The Nationals are 3-4 in Gray’s seven starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • In Gray’s 10 starts, his team is 4-6.
  • Gray has had eight starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in four of those games.

Nationals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Carl Edwards Jr. 23 21.2 15 2.91 10 1
Hunter Harvey 22 23.1 28 3.86 9 2
Erasmo Ramírez 20 24.1 13 5.92 2 0
Kyle Finnegan 20 20 20 4.50 3 10
Mason Thompson 18 25.1 23 4.26 1 1

Royals Hitting Trends

  • The Royals have hit at least two dingers in 12 games this season, and are 3-9 in those outings.
  • Kansas City is 6-10 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has collected at least eight hits in 33 games this season, and is 13-20 in those contests.
  • Kansas City is 10-9 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Royals are 1-8 over the nine games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Nationals Hitting Trends

  • They are 6-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In nine games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-1.
  • They have won 19 of the 35 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Washington has won 15 of its 22 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won six of their 14 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Royals vs. Nationals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Royals (-119)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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