Mariners vs. Pirates Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 26, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 26, 2023

The Seattle Mariners (26-24) are looking for continued production from a hitter on a roll versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (25-24) on Friday at 10:10 PM ET, at T-Mobile Park. Ty France is on a two-game homer streak.

The Pirates are an underdog (+170 moneyline odds) when they take the field at the Mariners (-200). The contest has a set total of 7.5.

The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 26, 2023 at 9:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mariners vs Pirates Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mariners -200 +170 7.5

Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 29 times this season and won 18, or 62.1%, of those games.
  • Seattle is undefeated in seven games this season when favored by -200 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 66.7% chance to win.
  • Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 18 of its 42 chances.
  • The Mariners are 19-23-0 against the spread this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 14
ERA 4.08
K/9 8.7

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have won in 11, or 37.9%, of the 29 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Pittsburgh has been listed as an underdog of +170 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 37% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 20 of its 42 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Pirates are 21-21-0 against the spread in their 42 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.0
HR 3
ERA 3.27
K/9 9.8

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – George Kirby

  • Kirby’s team is 5-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up three earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
  • Kirby has eight starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Kirby’s team has won 71.4% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-2).
  • Kirby’s team has won five of his nine starts this season.
  • Out of Kirby’s eight starts with a total this season, three have hit the over.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Brash 24 21 40 4.71 4 1
Paul Sewald 23 22.2 30 3.18 0 11
Gabe Speier 22 17.2 15 3.06 6 0
Trevor Gott 22 22.2 26 1.99 7 0
Justin Topa 20 19.1 17 2.79 9 1

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller

  • Keller (5-1 with a 2.44 ERA and 77 strikeouts in 62 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Pirates, his 11th of the season.
  • The righty’s most recent appearance came on Saturday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he tossed six innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up three hits.
  • Keller will aim to last five or more innings for his 10th straight start. He’s averaging 6.2 innings per outing.
  • The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline in four of Keller’s starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those matchups.
  • In Keller’s 10 starts, his team is 7-3.
  • Keller has had eight starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and four of those outings finished over the total.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Dauri Moreta 19 22.1 33 2.01 2 1
Colin Holderman 18 18.1 23 2.45 9 0
Duane Underwood Jr. 18 23.1 13 5.40 3 2
David Bednar 17 18 24 1.50 0 9
Jose Hernandez 17 19.2 21 2.75 2 0

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • The Mariners are 12-4 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
  • Seattle has collected five or more extra-base hits in five games this season, and has gone 4-1 in those contests.
  • The team is 21-13 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
  • Seattle is 26-5 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Mariners are 17-3 in the 20 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They have won 13 of the 14 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Pittsburgh has collected five or more extra-base hits in 11 games this season and won each of them.
  • They have a record of 17-6 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Pittsburgh has won 16 of its 18 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 16 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 11-5

Mariners vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-200)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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