Padres vs. Yankees Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 26, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 26, 2023

The San Diego Padres (23-27) will look to Rougned Odor, riding a two-game homer streak, versus the New York Yankees (30-22) at 7:05 PM ET on Friday, at Yankee Stadium.

The Padres are projected as a tight favorite (-115 to win on the moneyline) against the Yankees (-104). The over/under for the game is set at 9 total runs.

The insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 26, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Yankees Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -115 -104 9

Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have been favored 25 times and won 12, or 48%, of those games.
  • San Diego has a record of 12-12 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -115 on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 11 of its 42 games with a total this season.
  • In 42 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 20-22-0 ATS.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 13
ERA 3.68
K/9 8.7

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have been chosen as underdogs in 14 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (42.9%) in those games.
  • New York has a win-loss record of 6-8 when favored by -104 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of its 45 opportunities.
  • The Yankees are 24-21-0 against the spread in their 45 games that had a posted line this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 18
ERA 2.93
K/9 7.7

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Joe Musgrove

  • Musgrove and his team have a record of 2-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed six hits in five innings against the Boston Red Sox.
  • Musgrove has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • Musgrove’s team has a record of 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Musgrove’s team is 2-3 when he starts this season.
  • In games Musgrove has started this season, the teams are 1-4-0 at hitting the over.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Hill 23 21.2 13 4.15 6 0
Josh Hader 21 21 29 0.86 0 13
Steven Wilson 21 22.2 26 3.18 8 0
Luís Garcia 20 19.1 20 4.66 7 0
Brent Honeywell Jr. 17 26.2 23 3.37 3 0

Yankees Probable Pitcher – Randy Vasquez

  • Vasquez will take the mound to start for the Yankees, his first of the season.
  • The righty is making his MLB debut. He’s 24 years old.
  • Vasquez’s team was never a moneyline underdog a season ago in games he pitched.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 22 20.2 21 2.61 5 3
Clay Holmes 20 20 26 2.25 3 5
Jimmy Cordero 19 22.1 22 3.63 3 0
Ron Marinaccio 19 24 30 3.75 4 1
Albert Abreu 19 25.2 26 3.86 3 0

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres are 9-13 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • San Diego is 7-5 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has totaled eight or more hits 24 times this season, and has a 16-8 record in those games.
  • San Diego has an 18-2 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Padres have drawn at least five walks in 21 games this season, and are 14-7 in those contests.

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • They have won 26 of the 36 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In six games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 5-1.
  • They have a record of 27-12 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • New York has won 24 of its 33 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 12 of their 18 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Padres vs. Yankees Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-104)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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