The San Diego Padres (23-27) will look to Rougned Odor, riding a two-game homer streak, versus the New York Yankees (30-22) at 7:05 PM ET on Friday, at Yankee Stadium.
The Padres are projected as a tight favorite (-115 to win on the moneyline) against the Yankees (-104). The over/under for the game is set at 9 total runs.
The insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 26, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -115 | -104 | 9 |
Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have been favored 25 times and won 12, or 48%, of those games.
- San Diego has a record of 12-12 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -115 on the moneyline.
- The Padres have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 11 of its 42 games with a total this season.
- In 42 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 20-22-0 ATS.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.68 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have been chosen as underdogs in 14 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (42.9%) in those games.
- New York has a win-loss record of 6-8 when favored by -104 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of its 45 opportunities.
- The Yankees are 24-21-0 against the spread in their 45 games that had a posted line this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 2.93 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Joe Musgrove
- Musgrove and his team have a record of 2-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed six hits in five innings against the Boston Red Sox.
- Musgrove has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Musgrove’s team has a record of 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Musgrove’s team is 2-3 when he starts this season.
- In games Musgrove has started this season, the teams are 1-4-0 at hitting the over.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 23 | 21.2 | 13 | 4.15 | 6 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 21 | 21 | 29 | 0.86 | 0 | 13 |
| Steven Wilson | 21 | 22.2 | 26 | 3.18 | 8 | 0 |
| Luís Garcia | 20 | 19.1 | 20 | 4.66 | 7 | 0 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 17 | 26.2 | 23 | 3.37 | 3 | 0 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Randy Vasquez
- Vasquez will take the mound to start for the Yankees, his first of the season.
- The righty is making his MLB debut. He’s 24 years old.
- Vasquez’s team was never a moneyline underdog a season ago in games he pitched.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 22 | 20.2 | 21 | 2.61 | 5 | 3 |
| Clay Holmes | 20 | 20 | 26 | 2.25 | 3 | 5 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 19 | 22.1 | 22 | 3.63 | 3 | 0 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 19 | 24 | 30 | 3.75 | 4 | 1 |
| Albert Abreu | 19 | 25.2 | 26 | 3.86 | 3 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 9-13 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- San Diego is 7-5 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits 24 times this season, and has a 16-8 record in those games.
- San Diego has an 18-2 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Padres have drawn at least five walks in 21 games this season, and are 14-7 in those contests.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They have won 26 of the 36 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In six games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 5-1.
- They have a record of 27-12 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- New York has won 24 of its 33 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 12 of their 18 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Padres vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-104)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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