Mets vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 26, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 26, 2023

The Colorado Rockies (22-29) are looking for another big outing from a hitter on a roll against the New York Mets (26-25) on Friday at 8:40 PM ET, at Coors Field. Elias Diaz is riding a two-game homer streak.

The Rockies are an underdog at home (+176) against the Mets (-208). The over/under for this game is set at 11.5.

The betting insights in this article reference odds valid as of May 26, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mets vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mets -208 +176 11.5

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets have won 18, or 52.9%, of the 34 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • This season New York has won three of its seven games when favored by at least -208 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 67.5%.
  • So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of 44 games with a total.
  • The Mets are 13-31-0 ATS in their 44 games with a spread this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 16
ERA 4.96
K/9 8.0

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have been underdogs in 36 games this season and have come away with the win 17 times (47.2%) in those contests.
  • This year, Colorado has won three of 10 games when listed as at least +176 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 36.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with Colorado has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 18 of 43 chances this season.
  • The Rockies have an against the spread mark of 22-21-0 in 43 games with a line this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 7
ERA 6.72
K/9 6.5

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Max Scherzer

  • Scherzer’s team is 3-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he allowed three hits in six scoreless innings against the Cleveland Guardians.
  • Scherzer has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Scherzer’s team is 4-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Scherzer has started, his team is 5-2.
  • In Scherzer’s five starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Adam Ottavino 21 19 19 4.74 5 4
Drew Smith 19 17.1 23 3.12 7 1
David Robertson 19 21.1 25 1.27 4 8
Brooks Raley 18 16.1 16 3.31 10 1
Jeff Brigham 15 16.1 19 2.76 3 0

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Connor Seabold

  • Seabold (1-1 with a 5.97 ERA and 25 strikeouts in 31 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Rockies, his fifth of the season.
  • His last appearance came on Sunday against the Texas Rangers, when the right-hander tossed 3 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • Seabold will try to collect his third game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 2.8 innings per appearance.
  • The Rockies have a 3-1 record in Seabold’s four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Seabold’s team has a 3-1 record in his four starts.
  • Seabold has started four games with a total this season — his team has hit the over in each of them.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jake Bird 21 32.2 34 2.48 2 0
Justin Lawrence 21 27 30 2.33 6 0
Pierce Johnson 21 20.2 29 6.53 0 10
Brent Suter 20 31 28 0.87 2 0
Brad Hand 19 17.2 26 3.06 1 0

Mets Hitting Trends

  • The Mets have hit at least two dingers in 14 games this season, and are 9-5 in those outings.
  • New York has had five or more extra-base hits in seven games this season, and has gone 5-2 in those outings.
  • The club has strung together at least eight hits 32 times this season, and has a 23-9 record in those games.
  • New York is 23-6 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Mets have drawn at least five walks in 10 games this season, and are 7-3 in those contests.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They have won seven of the eight games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Colorado has gone 7-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 34 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 18-16.
  • Colorado has won 17 of its 21 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won six of their eight games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Mets vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rockies (+176)
Over/Under Pick: Over (11.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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