The Minnesota Twins (26-24) and Toronto Blue Jays (26-25) square off in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Target Field, at 8:10 PM ET. The Twins are coming off a series defeat to the Giants, and the Blue Jays a series loss to the Rays.
The Twins (-110 on the moneyline) have a projected close game with the Blue Jays (also -110 on the moneyline). The game’s over/under is set at 8.
The betting trends in what follows use the latest odds as of May 26, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Blue Jays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Favorite | -110 | -110 | 8 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have been favored 26 times and won 16, or 61.5%, of those games.
- Minnesota is 16-10 this season when entering a game favored by -110 or more on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 52.4% chance to win.
- So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of 43 games with a total.
- The Twins are 20-23-0 against the spread in their 43 chances this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.74 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 14 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (50%) in those games.
- This year, Toronto has won seven of 14 games when listed as at least -110 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 52.4% chance of pulling out a win.
- Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 22 of its 43 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 43 games with a line this season, the Blue Jays have a mark of 20-23-0 against the spread.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.05 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Louie Varland
- Varland and his team are 3-2-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed five innings while giving up two earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Los Angeles Angels.
- Varland has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Varland’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Varland’s team has a 3-2 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Varland have a 2-3-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 22 | 21.1 | 25 | 4.64 | 6 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 21 | 22 | 19 | 2.45 | 6 | 3 |
| Jhoan Duran | 18 | 18.1 | 24 | 1.47 | 0 | 7 |
| Jovani Moran | 17 | 21.2 | 26 | 4.15 | 5 | 0 |
| Emilio Pagán | 16 | 19.2 | 20 | 5.03 | 0 | 0 |
Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Kevin Gausman
- The Blue Jays will send Gausman (2-3) to the mound to make his 11th start of the season. He is 2-3 with a 3.14 ERA and 81 strikeouts through 63 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Sunday, the righty tossed eight innings against the Baltimore Orioles, giving up two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Gausman will aim to go five or more innings for his fourth straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.3 innings per outing.
- The Blue Jays were named the moneyline underdog for one Gausman start this season — they lost.
- Gausman’s team is 4-6 in his 10 starts.
- Gausman has started eight contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in four of them.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yimi Garcia | 23 | 22.2 | 27 | 6.35 | 7 | 0 |
| Tim Mayza | 23 | 18 | 18 | 1.00 | 3 | 1 |
| Erik Swanson | 22 | 23 | 28 | 3.52 | 10 | 0 |
| Jordan Romano | 19 | 19 | 24 | 3.32 | 1 | 10 |
| Anthony Bass | 18 | 16 | 16 | 5.06 | 1 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have racked up two or more long balls in 30 games this season, and are 25-5 in those outings.
- Minnesota has won each of its 18 games this season when putting up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has notched eight or more hits in 36 games this season, and is 29-7 in those contests.
- Minnesota has a 30-3 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Twins have drawn five or more walks in 19 games this season, and are 13-6 in those contests.
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 13 games this season and are 8-5 in those matchups.
- Toronto is undefeated in seven games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 31 of the 47 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Toronto has a 25-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 6-5 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Twins vs. Blue Jays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-110)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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