Guardians vs. Cardinals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 26, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 25, 2023

The St. Louis Cardinals (23-29) will look for Nolan Gorman to prolong a 15-game hitting streak versus the Cleveland Guardians (21-28), on Friday at 7:10 PM ET, at Progressive Field.

An expected tight contest pits the Guardians (-115 on the moneyline) against the Cardinals (-103). The over/under for the game is set at 8 total runs.

The betting trends in what follows reference odds valid as of May 26, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Guardians vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Guardians -115 -103 8

Guardians Betting Insights

  • This season, the Guardians have been favored 26 times and won 11, or 42.3%, of those games.
  • Cleveland has a record of 10-14 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -115 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 13 of its 41 games with a total this season.
  • The Guardians are 16-25-0 against the spread this season.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 8
ERA 4.40
K/9 8.4

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have won in eight, or 44.4%, of the 18 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • St. Louis has a mark of 8-8 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -103 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 50.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • St. Louis and its opponents have gone over in 26 of its 45 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Cardinals are 20-25-0 against the spread in their 45 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 16
ERA 4.35
K/9 8.4

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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Shane Bieber

  • Bieber and his team have a record of 3-5-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs in eight innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the New York Mets.
  • Bieber has nine starts of five or more innings this season in 10 chances. He averages 6.4 innings per outing.
  • Bieber’s team is 3-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Bieber’s team has a 3-7 record in his starts this season.
  • Games Bieber has started this season hit the over two times in eight chances.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Emmanuel Clase 23 24 16 3.38 0 16
James Karinchak 22 21.2 31 4.57 9 0
Trevor Stephan 21 20.2 25 2.18 7 2
Enyel De Los Santos 18 17.1 17 2.08 1 0
Eli Morgan 17 21 23 1.71 2 1

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Matthew Liberatore

  • Liberatore (1-0) gets the start for the Cardinals, his second of the season.
  • The lefty last appeared in relief on Sunday, when he threw one inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers, allowing two earned runs while giving up one hit.
  • The Cardinals have not been the underdog on the moneyline when Liberatore starts this season.
  • His team has won the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Liberatore’s lone start with a total this season went under.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Drew VerHagen 22 25.2 27 3.51 6 0
Jordan Hicks 19 20.2 33 4.79 4 0
Giovanny Gallegos 18 20.2 20 2.18 4 5
Chris Stratton 18 28.1 29 4.13 1 0
Ryan Helsley 17 21 28 3.00 2 6

Guardians Hitting Trends

  • The Guardians have put up at least two homers in six games this season, and are 4-2 in those outings.
  • Cleveland has gone 3-4 in its seven games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has notched at least eight hits 23 times this season, and has an 11-12 record in those games.
  • Cleveland has a 9-3 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Guardians are 8-8 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • They have won 22 of the 28 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • St. Louis has gone 20-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 41 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 28-13.
  • St. Louis has won 25 of its 30 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 7-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Guardians vs. Cardinals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (-103)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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