The St. Louis Cardinals (23-29) will look for Nolan Gorman to prolong a 15-game hitting streak versus the Cleveland Guardians (21-28), on Friday at 7:10 PM ET, at Progressive Field.
An expected tight contest pits the Guardians (-115 on the moneyline) against the Cardinals (-103). The over/under for the game is set at 8 total runs.
The betting trends in what follows reference odds valid as of May 26, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -115 | -103 | 8 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- This season, the Guardians have been favored 26 times and won 11, or 42.3%, of those games.
- Cleveland has a record of 10-14 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -115 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
- Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 13 of its 41 games with a total this season.
- The Guardians are 16-25-0 against the spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have won in eight, or 44.4%, of the 18 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- St. Louis has a mark of 8-8 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -103 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 50.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- St. Louis and its opponents have gone over in 26 of its 45 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Cardinals are 20-25-0 against the spread in their 45 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 4.35 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Shane Bieber
- Bieber and his team have a record of 3-5-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs in eight innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the New York Mets.
- Bieber has nine starts of five or more innings this season in 10 chances. He averages 6.4 innings per outing.
- Bieber’s team is 3-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Bieber’s team has a 3-7 record in his starts this season.
- Games Bieber has started this season hit the over two times in eight chances.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 23 | 24 | 16 | 3.38 | 0 | 16 |
| James Karinchak | 22 | 21.2 | 31 | 4.57 | 9 | 0 |
| Trevor Stephan | 21 | 20.2 | 25 | 2.18 | 7 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 18 | 17.1 | 17 | 2.08 | 1 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 17 | 21 | 23 | 1.71 | 2 | 1 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Matthew Liberatore
- Liberatore (1-0) gets the start for the Cardinals, his second of the season.
- The lefty last appeared in relief on Sunday, when he threw one inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers, allowing two earned runs while giving up one hit.
- The Cardinals have not been the underdog on the moneyline when Liberatore starts this season.
- His team has won the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Liberatore’s lone start with a total this season went under.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew VerHagen | 22 | 25.2 | 27 | 3.51 | 6 | 0 |
| Jordan Hicks | 19 | 20.2 | 33 | 4.79 | 4 | 0 |
| Giovanny Gallegos | 18 | 20.2 | 20 | 2.18 | 4 | 5 |
| Chris Stratton | 18 | 28.1 | 29 | 4.13 | 1 | 0 |
| Ryan Helsley | 17 | 21 | 28 | 3.00 | 2 | 6 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians have put up at least two homers in six games this season, and are 4-2 in those outings.
- Cleveland has gone 3-4 in its seven games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has notched at least eight hits 23 times this season, and has an 11-12 record in those games.
- Cleveland has a 9-3 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Guardians are 8-8 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They have won 22 of the 28 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- St. Louis has gone 20-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 41 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 28-13.
- St. Louis has won 25 of its 30 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 7-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Guardians vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (-103)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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