The Philadelphia Phillies (23-26) visit the Atlanta Braves (30-19) in NL East play, at 7:20 PM ET on Thursday.
The Phillies (-110 on the moneyline) square off against the Braves (-108) in an expected close matchup. The contest has an over/under of 9.5.
The betting trends in what follows reference odds valid as of May 25, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Braves Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -110 | -108 | 9.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been favorites in 29 games this season and won 15 (51.7%) of those contests.
- Philadelphia has a record of 15-14, a 51.7% win rate, when favored by -110 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.4% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 19 of its 42 chances.
- The Phillies have an ATS record of 19-23-0 in 42 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.03 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have been victorious in two of the five contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Atlanta has a win-loss record of 2-2 when favored by -108 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Braves have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over in 26 of its 41 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 41 games with a line this season, the Braves have a mark of 15-26-0 against the spread.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 3.99 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- Nola’s team is 4-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs in seven innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
- Nola has pitched five or more innings in nine straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Nola’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-2.
- Nola’s team has a 5-5 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Nola have a 5-3-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seranthony Domínguez | 23 | 19 | 20 | 4.26 | 6 | 0 |
| Gregory Soto | 23 | 21.1 | 26 | 4.64 | 8 | 1 |
| Connor Brogdon | 21 | 25.2 | 23 | 2.45 | 3 | 0 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 20 | 18 | 30 | 6.00 | 3 | 5 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 14 | 22.1 | 20 | 1.21 | 0 | 0 |
Braves Probable Pitcher – Dylan Dodd
- The Braves are sending Dodd (2-1) out for his fourth start of the season. He is 2-1 with a 6.46 ERA and seven strikeouts through 15 1/3 innings pitched.
- The left-hander last pitched on Thursday, May 4 against the Miami Marlins, when he tossed six innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Dodd heads into this game with two outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- The Braves were the moneyline underdog for one Dodd start this season — they won.
- Dodd’s team is 2-1 in his three starts.
- Dodd’s two starts with a total this season both went over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 22 | 22 | 28 | 7.36 | 0 | 7 |
| Jesse Chávez | 20 | 21.1 | 25 | 2.11 | 10 | 1 |
| Nick Anderson | 19 | 21.1 | 25 | 3.80 | 8 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 16 | 16.1 | 22 | 4.41 | 2 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 15 | 16.2 | 22 | 3.78 | 2 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 10-3 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Philadelphia is 11-2 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up eight or more hits in 35 games this season, and is 21-14 in those contests.
- Philadelphia is 19-2 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Phillies have drawn at least five walks in 16 games this season, and are 11-5 in those contests.
Braves Hitting Trends
- They have won 16 of the 23 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Atlanta has collected five or more extra-base hits in 10 games this season and won each of them.
- They have won 24 of the 36 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Atlanta has won 24 of its 30 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 10-8 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Braves Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-108)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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