Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 25, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 25, 2023

Gleyber Torres leads the New York Yankees (30-21) into a contest against the Baltimore Orioles (32-17) a game after homering twice in a 9-6 defeat to the Orioles. It starts at 7:05 PM ET on Thursday.

The Orioles are an away underdog (+115) at the Yankees (-136). The over/under for this game is 8.5.

The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of May 25, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Yankees vs Orioles Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Yankees -136 +115 8.5

Yankees Betting Insights

  • This season, the Yankees have won 20 out of the 30 games, or 66.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • New York has a record of 15-4 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -136 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 57.6% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of 44 opportunities.
  • The Yankees are 24-20-0 against the spread in their 44 chances this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 21
ERA 3.42
K/9 8.0

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have come away with nine wins in the 18 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Baltimore has a win-loss record of 5-5 when favored by +115 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 46.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 21 of its 42 opportunities.
  • The Orioles have an against the spread mark of 27-15-0 in 42 games with a line this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 17
ERA 4.16
K/9 10.1

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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Clarke Schmidt

  • Schmidt and his team have a record of 4-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs in five innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds.
  • Schmidt has started 10 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings four times. He averages 4.5 innings per appearance.
  • Schmidt’s team has been victorious in 75% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-1.
  • Schmidt’s team is 4-6 when he starts this season.
  • In games Schmidt has started this season, the teams are 2-5-1 at hitting the over.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 21 19.2 20 1.83 5 3
Clay Holmes 19 19.1 25 2.33 3 5
Ron Marinaccio 19 24 30 3.75 4 1
Jimmy Cordero 18 21.1 21 3.80 3 0
Albert Abreu 18 24.2 26 4.01 3 0

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Gibson

  • Gibson (5-3 with a 4.27 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 59 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Orioles, his 11th of the season.
  • His last time out was on Friday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when the righty tossed seven innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
  • Gibson will aim to last five or more innings for his fifth straight start. He’s averaging 5.9 frames per outing.
  • The Orioles have been the underdog on the moneyline in three of Gibson’s starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those matchups.
  • In Gibson’s 10 starts, his team is 6-4.
  • Gibson’s starts went over the run total two times in eight games with a set total this season.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Bryan Baker 23 22.2 28 2.78 9 0
Felix Bautista 22 25 50 1.44 0 12
Michael Baumann 21 26 27 3.81 1 0
Danny Coulombe 21 18.2 27 2.41 10 0
Cionel Pérez 20 18.1 14 3.44 7 0

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • The Yankees have a 26-10 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
  • New York has gone 5-1 in its six games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team is 27-12 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
  • New York is 24-9 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Yankees are 12-5 over the 17 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • They have won 16 of the 24 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Baltimore has won 13 of its 14 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 23 of the 34 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Baltimore has a 26-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 14 of their 17 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-136)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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