The San Diego Padres (22-27) and Washington Nationals (21-28) play a rubber match on Thursday at 4:05 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Nationals are an underdog (+170 on the moneyline to win) when they host the Padres (-200). The total for this game is 9.5.
The betting facts in the following article use the latest odds as of May 25, 2023 at 3:22 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -200 | +170 | 9.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been favorites in 24 games this season and won 11 (45.8%) of those contests.
- San Diego has a record of 3-2 when favored by -200 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 66.7% chance to win.
- San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 10 of its 41 games with a total this season.
- In 41 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 19-22-0 ATS.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.62 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 39 games this year and have walked away with the win 17 times (43.6%) in those games.
- Washington has a win-loss record of 7-4 when favored by +170 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 37% chance of walking away with the win.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 18 of its 41 opportunities.
- The Nationals are 28-13-0 against the spread in their 41 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 7.2 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell
- Snell and his team have a record of 1-6-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander gave up six earned runs in four innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Boston Red Sox.
- Snell has six starts of five or more innings this season in nine chances. He averages 5.0 innings per outing.
- Snell’s team is 1-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Snell’s team has a 1-8 record in his starts this season.
- In games Snell has started this season, the teams are 2-5-0 at hitting the over.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 22 | 21.2 | 13 | 2.91 | 6 | 0 |
| Steven Wilson | 21 | 22.2 | 26 | 3.18 | 8 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 20 | 20 | 27 | 0.90 | 0 | 12 |
| Luís Garcia | 20 | 19.1 | 20 | 4.66 | 7 | 0 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 16 | 25.2 | 22 | 3.51 | 3 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Jake Irvin
- The Nationals will send Irvin (1-2) out for his fifth start of the season. He is 1-2 with a 5.50 ERA and 15 strikeouts through 18 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday against the Detroit Tigers, when he tossed 2 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Irvin heads into this game with one outing of five or more innings pitched this year.
- The Nationals are 2-2 in Irvin’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Irvin’s team has won two of his four starts.
- Irvin has had four starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and two of those games finished over the total.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 22 | 20.2 | 14 | 2.18 | 9 | 1 |
| Hunter Harvey | 21 | 22.1 | 26 | 2.82 | 9 | 2 |
| Erasmo Ramírez | 19 | 24.1 | 13 | 5.18 | 2 | 0 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 19 | 19 | 18 | 4.74 | 2 | 10 |
| Mason Thompson | 17 | 24.1 | 23 | 4.44 | 1 | 1 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 8-13 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- San Diego is 7-5 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits in 23 games this season, and is 15-8 in those contests.
- San Diego is 17-2 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Padres are 13-7 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They are 5-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In eight games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 7-1.
- They have won 18 of the 33 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Washington has won 14 of its 20 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 13 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 5-8
Padres vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+170)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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