Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 24, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 24, 2023

The New York Yankees (30-20) will try to keep a five-game win streak going when they host the Baltimore Orioles (31-17) at 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday.

The Orioles are road underdogs (+125) against the Yankees (-146). The contest has an over/under of 8.

The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of May 24, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Yankees vs Orioles Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Yankees -146 +125 8

Yankees Betting Insights

  • This season, the Yankees have won 20 out of the 29 games, or 69%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • New York is 12-2 this season when entering a game favored by -146 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Yankees have a 59.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of 43 games with a total.
  • The Yankees are 24-19-0 ATS in their 43 games with a spread this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 21
ERA 3.42
K/9 8.1

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have come away with eight wins in the 17 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Baltimore has a win-loss record of 3-4 when favored by +125 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 44.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 20 of its 41 opportunities.
  • The Orioles have an against the spread record of 26-15-0 in 41 games with a line this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 17
ERA 3.58
K/9 9.9

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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Nestor Cortes Jr.

  • Cortes and his team are 5-3-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in six innings against the Toronto Blue Jays.
  • In nine starts this season, Cortes has lasted five or more innings seven times, with an average of 5.3 innings per appearance.
  • Cortes’ team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-2).
  • Cortes’ team has won six of his nine starts this season.
  • In games Cortes has started this season, the teams are 6-2-0 at hitting the over.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 21 19.2 20 1.83 5 3
Clay Holmes 19 19.1 25 2.33 3 5
Ron Marinaccio 19 24 30 3.75 4 1
Jimmy Cordero 17 21 20 2.14 3 0
Albert Abreu 17 23.1 25 4.24 3 0

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Tyler Wells

  • The Orioles will send Wells (3-1) out for his ninth start of the season. He is 3-1 with a 2.94 ERA and 46 strikeouts in 52 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Thursday against the Los Angeles Angels, when he threw five innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Wells will look to build on a 10-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.8 frames per appearance).
  • The Orioles were named the moneyline underdog for two Wells starts this season — they lost both.
  • In Wells’ eight starts, his team is 5-3.
  • Wells’ starts hit the over on the run total three times in eight games with a set total this season.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Bryan Baker 23 22.2 28 2.78 9 0
Felix Bautista 21 24 48 1.50 0 11
Michael Baumann 20 25 27 3.96 1 0
Cionel Pérez 20 18.1 14 3.44 7 0
Danny Coulombe 20 17 24 2.65 9 0

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • The Yankees have a 26-9 record in games this season when they smash at least two homers.
  • New York has racked up at least five extra-base hits in six games this season, and has gone 5-1 in those contests.
  • The team has racked up eight or more hits 39 times this season, and has a 27-12 record in those games.
  • New York is 24-8 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Yankees are 12-4 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 23 games this season and are 15-8 in those matchups.
  • In 14 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 13-1.
  • They have a record of 22-11 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 32 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 25-7.
  • They have a 14-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-146)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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