The Milwaukee Brewers (26-22) and Houston Astros (28-20) play a rubber match on Wednesday at 1:10 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Brewers (-109 moneyline odds to win) have an expected close matchup against the Astros (also -109 on the moneyline). The total for this game is 9.
The insights in what follows reference odds valid as of May 24, 2023 at 1:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Favorite | -109 | -109 | 9 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been favorites in 22 games this season and won 11 (50%) of those contests.
- Milwaukee is 11-11 this season when entering a game favored by -109 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 52.2%.
- Games involving Milwaukee has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 18 of 41 chances this season.
- The Brewers are 18-23-0 against the spread in their 41 chances this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.97 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have been victorious in 10, or 71.4%, of the 14 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Houston has a win-loss record of 9-4 when favored by -109 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The Astros have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 17 of its 40 opportunities.
- The Astros have an against the spread mark of 19-21-0 in 40 games with a line this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 2.86 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Adrian Houser
- Houser’s team is 2-1-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw six scoreless innings against the Tampa Bay Rays while allowing four hits.
- Houser’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Houser’s team has won two of his three starts this season.
- In Houser’s three starts with a total, the teams have hit the over one time.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Strzelecki | 21 | 22 | 20 | 3.68 | 12 | 0 |
| Hoby Milner | 20 | 18 | 14 | 4.50 | 4 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 20 | 23.2 | 27 | 2.28 | 5 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 14 | 15.1 | 19 | 0.59 | 0 | 7 |
| Bryse Wilson | 14 | 25.2 | 24 | 2.81 | 1 | 2 |
Astros Probable Pitcher – Brandon Bielak
- Bielak (1-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 18 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Astros, his fourth of the season.
- The righty last pitched on Saturday against the Oakland Athletics, when he threw five innings, allowing one earned run while giving up five hits.
- Bielak will aim to last five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.6 innings per outing.
- The Astros were the moneyline underdog for two Bielak starts this season — they lost both.
- Bielak’s team is 1-2 in his three starts.
- Bielak’s team has not hit the over in any of his three starts with a total this season.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 20 | 22.1 | 36 | 1.21 | 8 | 2 |
| Rafael Montero | 20 | 19.2 | 23 | 7.32 | 3 | 1 |
| Phil Maton | 19 | 23.1 | 25 | 0.77 | 2 | 0 |
| Héctor Neris | 18 | 20.1 | 24 | 1.33 | 6 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 18 | 19.1 | 17 | 3.26 | 0 | 8 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have racked up at least two dingers in 30 games this season, and are 25-5 in those contests.
- Milwaukee has won each of its four games this season when collecting at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has collected eight or more hits in 29 games this season, and is 23-6 in those contests.
- Milwaukee is 28-2 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Brewers are 15-4 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Astros Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 11 games this season and are 7-4 in those matchups.
- Houston has won seven of its nine games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 29-9 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Houston has won 26 of its 29 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 12-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Brewers vs. Astros Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-109)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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