Royals vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 24, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 24, 2023

The Kansas City Royals (15-35) and Detroit Tigers (21-25) play a rubber match on Wednesday at 7:40 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.

The Royals are favored (-114) in a projected tight game against the Tigers (-104). The over/under for this game is set at 8.5.

The betting insights in the article below reflect odds as of May 24, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Royals vs Tigers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Royals -114 -104 8.5

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have entered the game as favorites five times this season and won once.
  • Kansas City has been at least -114 moneyline favorites four times this season, but were upset in all of those games.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Royals.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of its 42 games with a total this season.
  • The Royals are 17-25-0 against the spread this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.0
HR 10
ERA 4.24
K/9 10.0

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 35 games this year and have walked away with the win 17 times (48.6%) in those games.
  • Detroit has a mark of 16-18 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by -104 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over in 19 of its 40 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In 40 games with a line this season, the Tigers have a mark of 24-16-0 against the spread.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 8
ERA 4.70
K/9 8.8

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Royals Probable Pitcher – Zack Greinke

  • Greinke and his team are 5-3-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox, giving up two earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • Greinke has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • Greinke has yet to start a game this season when his team was the moneyline favorite.
  • Greinke’s team has won three of his 10 starts.
  • In Greinke’s eight starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jose Cuas 20 21.2 28 4.15 1 0
Taylor Clarke 19 23.2 29 3.42 5 0
Amir Garrett 19 19 21 3.32 0 0
Aroldis Chapman 18 18.2 31 2.89 6 2
Scott Barlow 16 19 27 4.26 0 6

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Matthew Boyd

  • Boyd makes the start for the Tigers, his ninth of the season. He is 3-3 with a 6.21 ERA and 33 strikeouts through 37 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Friday, the left-hander went 5 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals, giving up three earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • Boyd enters this matchup with five outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
  • The Tigers have been the moneyline underdog in six of Boyd’s starts this season, and they went 3-3 in those games.
  • Boyd’s team has won five of his eight starts.
  • Boyd has had seven starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in four of those games.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Alex Lange 19 20.1 27 0.89 1 8
Jason Foley 19 19 14 1.42 7 2
José Cisnero 18 18 18 2.50 4 1
Chasen Shreve 17 17.2 17 4.58 4 0
Tyler Alexander 13 21 21 6.43 1 0

Royals Hitting Trends

  • The Royals have put up two or more homers in 11 games this season, and are 3-8 in those outings.
  • Kansas City has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 15 games this season, and has gone 6-9 in those contests.
  • The team has totaled at least eight hits in 31 games this season, and is 13-18 in those contests.
  • Kansas City is 10-8 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Royals have drawn five or more walks in eight games this season, and are 1-7 in those contests.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They have won five of the eight games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Detroit has gone 4-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 21 of the 27 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Detroit has won 18 of its 20 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 17 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 12-5

Royals vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Royals (-114)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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