Braves vs. Dodgers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 24, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 24, 2023

J.D. Martinez takes a two-game homer streak into the Los Angeles Dodgers’ (31-19) game against the Atlanta Braves (29-19) at 7:20 PM ET on Wednesday, at Truist Park.

The favored Braves (-121 on the moneyline to win) host the Dodgers (+103). The matchup has an over/under of 9.5 total runs.

The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 24, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Braves vs Dodgers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Braves -121 +103 9.5

Braves Betting Insights

  • This season, the Braves have been favored 35 times and won 21, or 60%, of those games.
  • Atlanta has a record of 20-10 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -121 on the moneyline.
  • The Braves have a 54.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 26 of 40 games with a total.
  • The Braves are 15-25-0 against the spread this season.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 18
ERA 4.24
K/9 9.9

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have won in four of the seven contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Los Angeles has a mark of 3-3 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +103 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Dodgers have a 49.3% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Los Angeles has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 25 of 42 chances this season.
  • In 42 games with a line this season, the Dodgers have a mark of 24-18-0 against the spread.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.0
HR 14
ERA 5.30
K/9 9.5

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Braves Probable Pitcher – Bryce Elder

  • Elder and his team have a record of 4-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed seven hits in six innings pitched against the Seattle Mariners on Friday.
  • Elder has pitched five or more innings in nine straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • Elder’s team has been victorious in 83.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-1.
  • Elder’s team has won seven of his nine starts this season.
  • In Elder’s eight starts with a total, the teams have hit the over four times.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
A.J. Minter 22 22 28 7.36 0 7
Jesse Chávez 19 20.1 25 2.21 9 1
Nick Anderson 18 20.1 24 3.10 8 1
Joe Jiménez 16 16.1 22 4.41 2 0
Kirby Yates 15 16.2 22 3.78 2 0

Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Tony Gonsolin

  • The Dodgers are sending Gonsolin (2-1) to the mound for his sixth start of the season. He is 2-1 with a 1.13 ERA and 19 strikeouts over 24 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Saturday, the right-hander went five scoreless innings against the St. Louis Cardinals while surrendering one hit.
  • Gonsolin will look to pitch five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 4.8 innings per outing.
  • The Dodgers were the moneyline underdog for one Gonsolin start this season — they lost.
  • Over Gonsolin’s five starts, his team is 3-2.
  • Gonsolin has had five starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and three of those games hit the over.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yency Almonte 21 21 17 7.71 5 0
Brusdar Graterol 20 20.2 16 2.18 5 3
Caleb Ferguson 19 18.1 22 0.98 8 1
Phil Bickford 19 22.1 29 5.64 2 0
Evan Phillips 18 19 24 1.89 3 7

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves have a 15-7 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Atlanta has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 10 games this season, and won each time.
  • The club has racked up at least eight hits in 36 games this season, and is 24-12 in those contests.
  • Atlanta is 24-6 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Braves have gone 10-8 over the 18 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • They have won 23 of the 28 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Los Angeles has gone 14-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 25-6 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 32 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 26-6.
  • They have a 22-7 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Braves vs. Dodgers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (-121)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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