Twins vs. Giants Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 24, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 24, 2023

The San Francisco Giants (24-24) will look to Michael Conforto, on a two-game homer streak, versus the Minnesota Twins (25-24) at 1:10 PM ET on Wednesday, at Target Field.

The Giants are an underdog (+132 moneyline odds to win) when they take on the Twins (-154). The matchup has an over/under of 7.5 total runs.

The insights in the article below use the latest odds as of May 24, 2023 at 1:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Twins vs Giants Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Twins -154 +132 7.5

Twins Betting Insights

  • This season, the Twins have been favored 25 times and won 15, or 60%, of those games.
  • Minnesota has a record of 8-7 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -154 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 60.6%.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 18 of 42 opportunities.
  • In 42 games with a spread this season, the Twins are 19-23-0 ATS.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 19
ERA 3.74
K/9 10.6

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have been underdogs in 19 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (52.6%) in those contests.
  • This season, San Francisco has been victorious two times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +132 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Giants have a 43.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 18 of its 41 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 41 games with a line this season, the Giants have a mark of 21-20-0 against the spread.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 6
ERA 3.07
K/9 9.3

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Joe Ryan

  • Ryan’s team is 5-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed seven hits in six innings against the Los Angeles Angels.
  • Ryan has nine starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Ryan’s team is 4-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Ryan’s team is 6-3 when he starts this season.
  • In games Ryan has started this season, the teams are 6-2-0 at hitting the over.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Griffin Jax 22 21.1 25 4.64 6 0
Jorge López 21 22 19 2.45 6 3
Jhoan Duran 17 17.2 22 1.53 0 7
Jovani Moran 16 20.1 23 4.43 4 0
Emilio Pagán 16 19.2 20 5.03 0 0

Giants Probable Pitcher – Anthony DeSclafani

  • The Giants are sending DeSclafani (3-3) out to make his 10th start of the season. He is 3-3 with a 3.09 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 55 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Saturday against the Miami Marlins, the righty tossed 5 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • DeSclafani will try to build upon a 10-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per appearance).
  • The Giants were the moneyline underdog for two DeSclafani starts this season — they split the games.
  • In DeSclafani’s nine starts, his team is 5-4.
  • DeSclafani’s starts hit the over on the run total three times in eight games with a set total this season.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 23 22.2 34 1.99 0 13
Tyler Rogers 20 25 20 2.16 9 2
John Brebbia 19 20 30 4.05 7 0
Scott Alexander 19 18.1 9 4.42 3 1
Taylor Rogers 17 14 12 5.14 3 1

Twins Hitting Trends

  • The Twins are 24-5 this season in games when they send out two or more home runs.
  • Minnesota has collected at least five extra-base hits in 18 games this season, and won every time.
  • The team is 29-7 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
  • Minnesota is 29-3 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Twins have gone 13-6 in the 19 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Giants Hitting Trends

  • They have won 11 of the 24 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • San Francisco has won five of its 12 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 28 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 14-14.
  • San Francisco has won 14 of its 26 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won nine of their 14 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Twins vs. Giants Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Twins (-154)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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