Luis Arraez leads the Miami Marlins (24-24) into a matchup against Elias Diaz and the Colorado Rockies (20-28) at Coors Field, Tuesday at 8:40 PM ET. Arraez is hitting .383, best in the league, while Diaz ranks third at .333.
The Rockies play as a home underdog (+113) versus the Marlins (-132). The matchup has an over/under of 11.5 total runs.
The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 23, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Rockies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -132 | +113 | 11.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- This season, the Marlins have won 10 out of the 18 games, or 55.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Miami has entered seven games this season favored by -132 or more and is 4-3 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 56.9%.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 17 of 40 opportunities.
- In 40 games with a spread this season, the Marlins are 16-24-0 ATS.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.05 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
Rockies Betting Insights
- The Rockies have been chosen as underdogs in 33 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (45.5%) in those games.
- Colorado has a mark of 11-15 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +113 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 46.9% chance of walking away with the win.
- Colorado and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of its 40 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Rockies are 20-20-0 against the spread in their 40 games that had a posted line this season.
Rockies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 5.90 |
| K/9 | 7.2 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Eury Perez
- Perez has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw five innings, giving up one earned run while allowing three hits against the Washington Nationals.
- Perez’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Perez’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Perez this season, the teams hit the over once.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 20 | 21.1 | 24 | 3.38 | 1 | 1 |
| Dylan Floro | 18 | 21.2 | 20 | 2.49 | 5 | 5 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 18 | 24.2 | 29 | 3.65 | 7 | 0 |
| Tanner Scott | 16 | 21 | 25 | 4.29 | 7 | 2 |
| Matt Barnes | 16 | 19.1 | 17 | 3.72 | 2 | 0 |
Rockies Probable Pitcher – Austin Gomber
- Gomber (3-4 with a 6.70 ERA and 29 strikeouts in 44 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Rockies, his 10th of the season.
- In his most recent outing on Wednesday against the Cincinnati Reds, the lefty tossed 4 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
- Gomber will try to record his sixth game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 4.9 innings per appearance.
- The Rockies are 3-3 in Gomber’s six starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Gomber’s team has a 4-5 record in his starts this season.
- Gomber’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in four of eight contests.
Rockies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Bird | 20 | 32.1 | 33 | 2.51 | 1 | 0 |
| Justin Lawrence | 20 | 26 | 28 | 2.42 | 6 | 0 |
| Pierce Johnson | 19 | 19 | 26 | 4.74 | 0 | 9 |
| Brad Hand | 18 | 16.2 | 25 | 3.24 | 1 | 0 |
| Brent Suter | 18 | 28.2 | 26 | 0.94 | 1 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have racked up two or more dingers in 20 games this season, and are 5-15 in those outings.
- Miami is undefeated in its seven games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has collected eight or more hits in 45 games this season, and is 22-23 in those contests.
- Miami is 15-9 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Marlins are 2-9 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Rockies Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in eight games this season and are 7-1 in those matchups.
- In 14 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 7-7.
- They have won 17 of the 33 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Colorado has a 15-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 5-2 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Marlins vs. Rockies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rockies (+113)
Over/Under Pick: Under (11.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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