Astros vs. Brewers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 23, 2023

The Milwaukee Brewers (25-22) will look for continued production from a batter on a roll against the Houston Astros (28-19) on Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET, at American Family Field. Rowdy Tellez is on a two-game homer streak.

The Astros are the road favorite (-131) versus the Brewers (+111). The total for this game is 9.5.

The betting trends in this article use the latest odds as of May 23, 2023 at 7:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Astros vs Brewers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Astros -131 +111 9.5

Astros Betting Insights

  • This season, the Astros have won 15 out of the 25 games, or 60%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Houston has a record of 13-7, a 65% win rate, when favored by -131 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 56.7% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 17 of 39 opportunities.
  • The Astros are 19-20-0 against the spread this season.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 9-1
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 12
ERA 2.43
K/9 10.0

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 18 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (44.4%) in those games.
  • This season, Milwaukee has come away with a win eight times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 47.4% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over in 18 of its 40 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In 40 games with a line this season, the Brewers have a mark of 17-23-0 against the spread.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 14
ERA 6.07
K/9 8.2

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Astros Probable Pitcher – J.P. France

  • France and his team are 1-2-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up six earned runs in 3 2/3 innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
  • France’s team is 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • France’s team has won two of his three starts this season.
  • Out of France’s three starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Bryan Abreu 20 22.1 36 1.21 8 2
Rafael Montero 19 18.2 22 5.79 3 1
Ryan Pressly 18 19.1 17 3.26 0 8
Héctor Neris 18 20.1 24 1.33 6 2
Phil Maton 18 22 22 0.82 2 0

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Colin Rea

  • Rea makes the start for the Brewers, his seventh of the season. He is 0-3 with a 5.52 ERA and 25 strikeouts in 31 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last appearance came on Sunday, May 14 against the Kansas City Royals, when the righty threw 3 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • Rea will try to record his sixth game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 4.4 innings per appearance.
  • The Brewers have been the moneyline underdog in three of Rea’s starts this season, and they went 2-1 in those games.
  • Rea’s team is 3-3 over his six starts.
  • Rea’s starts went over the run total two times in six games with a set total this season.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Hoby Milner 20 18 14 4.50 4 0
Peter Strzelecki 20 21 18 3.86 11 0
Joel Payamps 19 23 25 2.35 4 1
Devin Williams 14 15.1 19 0.59 0 7
Bryse Wilson 13 24.2 24 2.92 1 2

Astros Hitting Trends

  • The Astros have a 7-4 record in games this season when they belt at least two homers.
  • Houston has gone 7-2 in its nine games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has totaled at least eight hits in 38 games this season, and is 29-9 in those contests.
  • Houston has a 26-3 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Astros have drawn at least five walks in 15 games this season, and are 12-3 in those contests.

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • They are 24-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Milwaukee has won each of its four games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
  • In 28 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 22-6.
  • Milwaukee has won 27 of its 29 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 15-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Astros vs. Brewers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Astros (-131)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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