Cardinals vs. Reds Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 23, 2023

Nolan Gorman carries a 12-game hitting streak into the St. Louis Cardinals’ (21-28) game against the Cincinnati Reds (20-27) at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday, at Great American Ball Park.

The Reds are an underdog (+121 on the moneyline) when they square off against the Cardinals (-142). The contest has a set total of 10.5.

The betting trends in the article below reference odds valid as of May 23, 2023 at 3:23 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cardinals vs Reds Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cardinals -142 +121 10.5

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have won 11, or 47.8%, of the 23 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • St. Louis has a record of 7-10 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -142 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.7% chance of a victory for the Cardinals.
  • St. Louis’ games have gone over the total in 24 of its 42 chances.
  • The Cardinals are 19-23-0 against the spread in their 42 chances this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 7.3
HR 20
ERA 3.20
K/9 8.9

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been underdogs in 32 games this season and have come away with the win 13 times (40.6%) in those contests.
  • Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 7-16 when favored by +121 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 45.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 22 of its 41 opportunities.
  • The Reds are 24-17-0 against the spread in their 41 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 8
ERA 5.26
K/9 9.6

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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Adam Wainwright

  • Wainwright’s team is 2-1-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • Wainwright has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • Wainwright’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Wainwright’s team is 2-1 when he starts this season.
  • The teams have gone over the point total set by bookmakers in each of the three games Wainwright has started this season.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Drew VerHagen 21 25 26 3.60 5 0
Jordan Hicks 19 20.2 33 4.79 4 0
Ryan Helsley 16 20 27 3.15 2 5
Giovanny Gallegos 16 18.1 18 1.96 3 4
Génesis Cabrera 16 17 26 4.76 2 0

Reds Probable Pitcher – Graham Ashcraft

  • The Reds are sending Ashcraft (2-2) out for his 10th start of the season. He is 2-2 with a 4.84 ERA and 36 strikeouts in 48 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Wednesday against the Colorado Rockies, when he threw five innings, allowing seven earned runs while giving up 10 hits.
  • Ashcraft will try to pitch five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.3 frames per outing.
  • The Reds have a 4-3 record in Ashcraft’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Ashcraft’s team is 5-4 over his nine starts.
  • Ashcraft has had eight starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and five of those games finished over the total.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Ian Gibaut 20 22.1 22 3.63 5 1
Alex Young 20 20.1 25 3.10 5 0
Buck Farmer 19 24 24 3.00 3 0
Alexis Diaz 17 18.2 35 1.93 1 10
Lucas Sims 13 13.2 17 3.29 4 0

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • The Cardinals are 21-5 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
  • St. Louis has gone 19-2 in its 21 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 27-12 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
  • St. Louis is 24-5 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Cardinals are 7-10 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Reds Hitting Trends

  • They are 11-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 12 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 10-2.
  • They have a record of 25-14 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Cincinnati has won 27 of its 31 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 6-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Cardinals vs. Reds Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (-142)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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