Braves vs. Dodgers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 23, 2023

Both the Atlanta Braves (29-18) and Los Angeles Dodgers (30-19) are looking for batters to extend hit streaks when they match up Tuesday at 7:20 PM ET at Truist Park. Ronald Acuna Jr. is currently on a 12-game streak for the Braves, and Freddie Freeman has also hit in 12 consecutive games for the Dodgers.

The favored Braves (-199 on the moneyline to win) play at home against the Dodgers (+169). The total for the game is 8.5 total runs.

The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of May 23, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Braves vs Dodgers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Braves -199 +169 8.5

Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been favorites in 34 games this season and won 21 (61.8%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta has a record of 6-1 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -199 on the moneyline.
  • The Braves have a 66.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 25 of its 39 chances.
  • The Braves are 15-24-0 against the spread this season.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 18
ERA 3.87
K/9 10.4

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have been chosen as underdogs in six games this year and have walked away with the win three times (50%) in those games.
  • Oddsmakers have given Los Angeles the worst odds of winning it has seen this season with a +169 moneyline listed for this contest.
  • The Dodgers have an implied victory probability of 37.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 24 of its 41 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Dodgers are 23-18-0 against the spread in their 41 games that had a posted line this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 13
ERA 5.40
K/9 9.0

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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider

  • Strider and his team are 2-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw five innings against the Texas Rangers, giving up four earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • Strider has pitched five or more innings in nine straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • Strider’s team has won 85.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-1).
  • Strider’s team is 8-1 when he starts this season.
  • Out of Strider’s seven starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
A.J. Minter 22 22 28 7.36 0 7
Jesse Chávez 19 20.1 25 2.21 9 1
Nick Anderson 18 20.1 24 3.10 8 1
Joe Jiménez 16 16.1 22 4.41 2 0
Kirby Yates 15 16.2 22 3.78 2 0

Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Bobby Miller

  • Miller gets the call to start for the Dodgers, his first this season.
  • The right-hander will make his MLB debut at 24 years old.
  • Miller’s team was never the underdog on the moneyline a season ago in games he pitched.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yency Almonte 20 20 14 8.10 4 0
Caleb Ferguson 19 18.1 22 0.98 8 1
Phil Bickford 19 22.1 29 5.64 2 0
Brusdar Graterol 19 19.2 15 2.29 5 3
Shelby Miller 18 21.2 21 2.91 2 1

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves have hit two or more home runs in 22 games this season, and are 15-7 in those contests.
  • Atlanta has collected at least five extra-base hits in 10 games this season, and won each time.
  • The club has racked up at least eight hits 36 times this season, and has a 24-12 record in those games.
  • Atlanta has a 24-6 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Braves have drawn at least five walks in 18 games this season, and are 10-8 in those contests.

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 27 games this season and are 22-5 in those matchups.
  • Los Angeles has won 14 of its 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 24 of the 30 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Los Angeles has won 25 of its 31 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 21 of their 28 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Braves vs. Dodgers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (-199)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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