A pair of pitchers with top-10 ERAs face off when Sonny Gray (1.64 ERA) gets the start for the Minnesota Twins (25-23) against Alex Cobb (1.94) and the San Francisco Giants (23-24) on Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET.
The Giants are an underdog (+127 moneyline odds) when they take on the Twins (-148). The game’s over/under is 7.5.
The betting trends in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 23, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Giants Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -148 | +127 | 7.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have entered the game as favorites 24 times this season and won 15, or 62.5%, of those games.
- Minnesota has entered 15 games this season favored by -148 or more and is 8-7 in those contests.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.7% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- Games involving Minnesota has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 18 of 41 chances this season.
- In 41 games with a spread this season, the Twins are 19-22-0 ATS.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.94 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Giants Betting Insights
- The Giants have been chosen as underdogs in 18 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (50%) in those games.
- This season, San Francisco has been victorious four times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +127 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Giants have a 44.1% chance of walking away with the win.
- San Francisco’s games have gone over the total in 18 of its 40 opportunities.
- The Giants have an against the spread mark of 20-20-0 in 40 games with a line this season.
Giants Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.41 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Gray
- When Gray starts, his team is 3-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw four innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up two earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Gray has eight starts of five or more innings this season in nine chances. He averages 5.5 innings per outing.
- When Gray starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-1.
- Gray’s team has a 5-4 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Gray’s seven starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 21 | 20.1 | 22 | 4.87 | 6 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 20 | 21 | 19 | 1.71 | 6 | 3 |
| Jhoan Duran | 17 | 17.2 | 22 | 1.53 | 0 | 7 |
| Emilio Pagán | 15 | 18.2 | 19 | 5.30 | 0 | 0 |
| Jovani Moran | 15 | 19.2 | 22 | 4.58 | 3 | 0 |
Giants Probable Pitcher – Cobb
- Cobb (3-1) takes the mound first for the Giants in his 10th start of the season. He has a 1.94 ERA in 51 2/3 innings pitched, with 44 strikeouts.
- His last appearance came on Wednesday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when the right-hander threw 3 1/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Cobb has put up six starts this year that he pitched five or more innings.
- The Giants are 2-2 in Cobb’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Cobb’s team has a 6-3 record in his starts this season.
- Cobb has had seven starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and one of those matchups hit the over.
Giants Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camilo Doval | 22 | 21.2 | 31 | 2.08 | 0 | 12 |
| Tyler Rogers | 20 | 25 | 20 | 2.16 | 9 | 2 |
| John Brebbia | 19 | 20 | 30 | 4.05 | 7 | 0 |
| Scott Alexander | 18 | 17.1 | 9 | 4.67 | 2 | 1 |
| Taylor Rogers | 17 | 14 | 12 | 5.14 | 3 | 1 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins are 24-4 this season in games when they send out two or more homers.
- Minnesota is undefeated in its 18 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled at least eight hits 36 times this season, and has a 29-7 record in those games.
- Minnesota is 29-3 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Twins have drawn at least five walks in 19 games this season, and are 13-6 in those contests.
Giants Hitting Trends
- They have won 11 of the 24 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- San Francisco has gone 5-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 13 of the 27 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- San Francisco has won 14 of its 26 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 9-5 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Twins vs. Giants Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-148)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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