Guardians vs. White Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 23, 2023

The Cleveland Guardians (21-26) take the field against the Chicago White Sox (19-30) on Tuesday at Progressive Field, at 6:10 PM ET.

The Guardians are a home favorite (-127) against the White Sox (+109). The game’s total is set at 8.5.

The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of May 23, 2023 at 3:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Guardians vs White Sox Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Guardians -127 +109 8.5

Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have been favorites in 24 games this season and won 11 (45.8%) of those contests.
  • Cleveland has entered 17 games this season favored by -127 or more and is 7-10 in those contests.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 55.9% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
  • So far this season, Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 13 of 39 games with a total.
  • In 39 games with a spread this season, the Guardians are 16-23-0 ATS.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 10
ERA 4.29
K/9 8.1

White Sox Betting Insights

  • The White Sox have been underdogs in 27 games this season and have come away with the win six times (22.2%) in those contests.
  • This season, Chicago has come away with a win two times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The White Sox have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of its 41 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The White Sox are 20-21-0 against the spread in their 41 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

White Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 11
ERA 2.22
K/9 7.4

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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Logan Allen

  • When Allen starts, his team is 3-2-0 against the spread this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed seven hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox.
  • Allen has made four starts of five or more innings in five chances this season, and averages 5.2 frames when he pitches.
  • Allen’s team is 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Allen’s team has a 3-2 record in his starts this season.
  • Games Allen has started this season hit the over two times in five chances.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Emmanuel Clase 23 24 16 3.38 0 16
Trevor Stephan 21 20.2 25 2.18 7 2
James Karinchak 20 19.2 28 5.03 9 0
Enyel De Los Santos 17 16.1 14 2.20 1 0
Eli Morgan 16 19 20 1.89 2 1

White Sox Probable Pitcher – Dylan Cease

  • Cease makes the start for the White Sox, his 11th of the season. He is 2-3 with a 4.78 ERA and 57 strikeouts in 52 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out came on Thursday against the Cleveland Guardians, when the righty threw 6 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • Cease will try to extend a five-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing).
  • The White Sox were the underdog on the moneyline for two Cease starts this season — they lost both.
  • In Cease’s 10 starts, his team is 5-5.
  • Cease has had eight starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and four of those outings hit the over.

White Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Reynaldo López 19 19.1 28 6.98 4 4
Kendall Graveman 19 19.1 19 3.26 6 3
Gregory Santos 19 24.1 23 2.59 1 0
Jimmy Lambert 18 18.1 22 5.89 3 0
Aaron Bummer 18 15 15 8.40 6 0

Guardians Hitting Trends

  • The Guardians have a 4-2 record this season in games when they smash two or more homers.
  • Cleveland has gone 3-4 in its seven games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has put up eight or more hits 23 times this season, and has an 11-12 record in those games.
  • Cleveland is 9-3 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Guardians have drawn at least five walks in 16 games this season, and are 8-8 in those contests.

White Sox Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 18 games this season and are 7-11 in those matchups.
  • Chicago has gone 6-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 30 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 16-14.
  • Chicago has a 12-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won two of their six games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Guardians vs. White Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Guardians (-127)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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