The San Diego Padres (21-26) and Washington Nationals (20-27) square off on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at Nationals Park.
The Padres are favored (-154 moneyline odds to win) when they take on the Nationals (+131). The contest has an over/under of 8.
The betting trends in the following article are based off odds valid as of May 23, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -154 | +131 | 8 |
Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have been favored 22 times and won 10, or 45.5%, of those games.
- San Diego has a record of 7-8 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -154 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 60.6%.
- San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in nine of its 39 games with a total this season.
- In 39 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 18-21-0 ATS.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.8 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.77 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have come away with 16 wins in the 37 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Washington has been victorious 12 times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least +131 or longer on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 43.3% chance of pulling out a win.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over in 17 of its 39 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Nationals have posted a record of 27-12-0 against the spread this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.03 |
| K/9 | 6.5 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Yu Darvish
- When Darvish starts, his team is 3-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 5 1/3 innings against the Kansas City Royals, giving up four earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Darvish will look to finish five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
- Darvish’s team has won 40% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-3).
- In games Darvish has started, his team is 3-5.
- In Darvish’s seven starts with a total, the teams have hit the over one time.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 21 | 22.2 | 26 | 3.18 | 8 | 0 |
| Tim Hill | 21 | 20.2 | 12 | 3.05 | 6 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 19 | 19 | 26 | 0.95 | 0 | 11 |
| Luís Garcia | 19 | 18.2 | 20 | 4.82 | 7 | 0 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 16 | 25.2 | 22 | 3.51 | 3 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – MacKenzie Gore
- Gore gets the start for the Nationals, his 10th of the season. He is 3-3 with a 3.69 ERA and 58 strikeouts in 46 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Wednesday against the Miami Marlins, the left-hander threw 5 1/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Gore heads into this game with six outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- The Nationals are 1-6 in Gore’s seven starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Gore’s team has won three of his nine starts.
- Gore’s starts went over the run total one time in seven games with a set total this season.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 21 | 19.2 | 13 | 2.29 | 8 | 1 |
| Hunter Harvey | 20 | 21 | 24 | 3.00 | 8 | 2 |
| Erasmo Ramírez | 18 | 23.1 | 13 | 3.86 | 2 | 0 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 18 | 18 | 17 | 5.00 | 2 | 9 |
| Mason Thompson | 16 | 23.1 | 21 | 4.63 | 1 | 1 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres have hit two or more round-trippers in 19 games this season, and are 7-12 in those outings.
- San Diego has had at least five extra-base hits in 11 games this season, and has gone 6-5 in those contests.
- The team is 14-8 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
- San Diego is 16-2 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Padres are 12-7 in the 19 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in eight games this season and are 5-3 in those matchups.
- Washington has gone 7-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 31 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 17-14.
- Washington has won 13 of its 19 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won five of their 13 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Padres vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+131)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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