Braves vs. Dodgers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 22, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 21, 2023

The Atlanta Braves (29-17) will look to Ronald Acuna Jr., who is on an 11-game hit streak, when they take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (29-19) and Freddie Freeman, who has also hit in 11 consecutive games. It begins at 7:20 PM ET on Monday, at Truist Park.

The Dodgers are an underdog (+132 moneyline odds) when they take on the Braves (-156). The game’s over/under is set at 9.

The insights in what follows reflect odds as of May 22, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Braves vs Dodgers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Braves -156 +132 9

Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been favorites in 33 games this season and won 21 (63.6%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta has a record of 11-5, a 68.8% win rate, when favored by -156 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.9% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 24 of 38 opportunities.
  • The Braves are 15-23-0 against the spread in their 38 chances this season.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 18
ERA 3.56
K/9 10.6

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have come away with two wins in the five contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Los Angeles has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +132.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 43.1% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over in 23 of its 40 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Dodgers are 22-18-0 against the spread in their 40 games that had a posted line this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 12
ERA 5.00
K/9 9.1

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Braves Probable Pitcher – Charlie Morton

  • Morton and his team are 4-3-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings without allowing a run on seven hits in a matchup with the Texas Rangers.
  • Morton will look to finish five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
  • Morton’s team has been victorious in 57.1% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-3.
  • Morton’s team has won five of his eight starts.
  • Games started by Morton have a 4-3-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
A.J. Minter 21 20.2 26 7.40 0 7
Jesse Chávez 19 20.1 25 2.21 9 1
Nick Anderson 18 20.1 24 3.10 8 1
Joe Jiménez 15 15.2 21 4.02 2 0
Kirby Yates 14 15.2 21 4.02 2 0

Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Gavin Stone

  • Stone (0-0) gets the start for the Dodgers, his second of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, May 3 against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he threw four innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up eight hits.
  • The Dodgers have yet to be named a moneyline underdog when Stone starts this season.
  • His team has won the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Stone’s only start with a total this season went over.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yency Almonte 19 19 13 8.53 3 0
Caleb Ferguson 18 17.1 21 1.04 7 1
Brusdar Graterol 18 18.1 14 2.45 5 2
Shelby Miller 18 21.2 21 2.91 2 1
Phil Bickford 18 21.2 27 5.40 1 0

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves are 15-7 this season in games when they send out two or more long balls.
  • Atlanta is undefeated in its 10 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team is 24-11 in the games this season it has put up eight or more hits.
  • Atlanta is 24-5 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Braves have drawn five or more walks in 17 games this season, and are 10-7 in those contests.

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • They are 21-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 13-5.
  • They have won 23 of the 29 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Los Angeles has won 24 of its 30 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 28 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 21-7

Braves vs. Dodgers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (-156)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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