The Philadelphia Phillies (22-24) and Arizona Diamondbacks (27-20) square off on Monday at 6:40 PM ET, opening a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park.
The Diamondbacks are an away underdog (+186) at the Phillies (-221). The over/under for the game is 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 22, 2023 at 5:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -221 | +186 | 8.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have won 15 out of the 27 games, or 55.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Philadelphia has a record of 2-1 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -221 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 68.8% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 18 of its 39 games with a total this season.
- The Phillies are 18-21-0 against the spread in their 39 chances this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.41 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 19 games this year and have walked away with the win 11 times (57.9%) in those games.
- Arizona has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +186.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 35% chance of pulling out a win.
- Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of its 39 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Diamondbacks are 22-17-0 against the spread in their 39 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.66 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler
- Wheeler’s team is 4-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs in six innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
- Wheeler will look to finish five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
- Wheeler’s team has a record of 3-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Wheeler’s team has a 5-4 record in his starts this season.
- Games Wheeler has started this season hit the over two times in seven chances.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seranthony Domínguez | 22 | 19 | 20 | 3.79 | 6 | 0 |
| Gregory Soto | 22 | 20.1 | 24 | 4.87 | 8 | 1 |
| Connor Brogdon | 20 | 24 | 20 | 2.63 | 3 | 0 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 19 | 17 | 29 | 6.35 | 3 | 5 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 12 | 20.1 | 18 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Tommy Henry
- Henry makes the start for the Diamondbacks, his sixth of the season. He is 1-1 with a 5.00 ERA and 13 strikeouts in 27 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out came on Wednesday against the Oakland Athletics, when the lefty went 4 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Henry enters this matchup with three outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- The Diamondbacks were named the moneyline underdog for two Henry starts this season — they split the games.
- Henry’s team has a 3-2 record over his five starts.
- Henry’s starts hit the over on the run total three times in five games with a set total this season.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 20 | 24 | 24 | 4.12 | 8 | 1 |
| Miguel Castro | 19 | 20.2 | 19 | 2.61 | 7 | 4 |
| Andrew Chafin | 19 | 17.2 | 26 | 3.57 | 4 | 6 |
| Kyle Nelson | 18 | 18 | 21 | 1.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 18 | 20.1 | 17 | 3.10 | 1 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have a 10-2 record in games this season when they smash at least two home runs.
- Philadelphia has collected at least five extra-base hits in 13 games this season, and has gone 11-2 in those outings.
- The team has strung together eight or more hits in 34 games this season, and is 20-14 in those contests.
- Philadelphia is 18-2 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Phillies are 10-4 over the 14 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They have won 15 of the 21 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 15 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 11-4.
- They have a record of 29-10 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 34 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 29-5.
- They have won 11 of their 21 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-221)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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