The Houston Astros (27-19) bring a 26-game win streak into a home matchup versus the Milwaukee Brewers (25-21), at 7:40 PM ET on Monday.
The Brewers (-110 on the moneyline) meet the Astros (-109) in a projected close contest. The total for the game is set at 7.5 total runs.
The betting facts in the following article use the latest odds as of May 22, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -110 | -109 | 7.5 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- This season, the Brewers have won 11 out of the 21 games, or 52.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Milwaukee has entered 21 games this season favored by -110 or more and is 11-10 in those contests.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 52.4% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of its 39 games with a total this season.
- The Brewers are 17-22-0 against the spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 5.65 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have been underdogs in 13 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (69.2%) in those contests.
- Houston has a mark of 9-4 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -109 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Astros have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of its 38 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Astros are 18-20-0 against the spread in their 38 games that had a posted line this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 2.63 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes
- Burnes’ team is 4-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs in six innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals.
- Burnes has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Burnes’ team is 4-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Burnes’ team has won five of his nine starts this season.
- Games Burnes has started this season hit the over four times in seven chances.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Strzelecki | 20 | 21 | 18 | 3.86 | 11 | 0 |
| Hoby Milner | 19 | 17.1 | 14 | 4.15 | 4 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 19 | 23 | 25 | 2.35 | 4 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 14 | 15.1 | 19 | 0.59 | 0 | 7 |
| Bryse Wilson | 13 | 24.2 | 24 | 2.92 | 1 | 2 |
Astros Probable Pitcher – Cristian Javier
- Javier (4-1) gets the starting nod for the Astros in his 10th start of the season. He has a 3.25 ERA in 52 2/3 innings pitched, with 59 strikeouts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday against the Chicago Cubs, when he threw six innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing two hits.
- Javier is trying for his 10th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.8 frames per start.
- The Astros were named the moneyline underdog for three Javier starts this season — they won all of the games.
- Over Javier’s nine starts, his team is 7-2.
- Javier has had seven starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in four of those games.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 20 | 22.1 | 36 | 1.21 | 8 | 2 |
| Rafael Montero | 19 | 18.2 | 22 | 5.79 | 3 | 1 |
| Héctor Neris | 18 | 20.1 | 24 | 1.33 | 6 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 18 | 19.1 | 17 | 3.26 | 0 | 8 |
| Phil Maton | 18 | 22 | 22 | 0.82 | 2 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have hit two or more dingers in 29 games this season, and are 24-5 in those contests.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in its four games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has notched at least eight hits in 28 games this season, and is 22-6 in those contests.
- Milwaukee has a 27-2 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Brewers are 15-4 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Astros Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 10 games this season and are 6-4 in those matchups.
- Houston has won six of its eight games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 28-9 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Houston has won 25 of its 28 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 11 of their 14 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Brewers vs. Astros Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-110)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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