The Los Angeles Angels (24-23) and Minnesota Twins (25-21) play a rubber match on Sunday at 4:07 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Twins are road underdogs (+130) versus the Angels (-153). The matchup has an over/under of 7.5 total runs.
The betting insights in this article use the latest odds as of May 21, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Angels vs Twins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angels | -153 | +130 | 7.5 |
Angels Betting Insights
- This season, the Angels have won 12 out of the 23 games, or 52.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Los Angeles has a record of 7-3 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -153 on the moneyline.
- The Angels have a 60.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 21 of its 40 chances.
- The Angels are 19-21-0 against the spread this season.
Angels Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.23 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have been underdogs in 15 games this season and have come away with the win five times (33.3%) in those contests.
- This season, Minnesota has come away with a win two times in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 43.5% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Minnesota has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 18 of 39 chances this season.
- The Twins are 19-20-0 against the spread in their 39 games that had a posted line this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.4 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.52 |
| K/9 | 10.3 |
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Angels Probable Pitcher – Shohei Ohtani
- Ohtani’s team is 4-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up five earned runs in seven innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles.
- Ohtani has eight starts of five or more innings this season in eight chances. He averages 5.9 innings per outing.
- Ohtani’s team is 5-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Ohtani’s team has won six of his eight starts this season.
- Games started by Ohtani have a 3-3-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Angels Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Moore | 19 | 23 | 21 | 1.17 | 10 | 0 |
| Carlos Estévez | 19 | 21 | 28 | 1.29 | 2 | 11 |
| Andrew Wantz | 14 | 21.2 | 20 | 3.32 | 3 | 0 |
| Jimmy Herget | 12 | 12.1 | 9 | 4.38 | 4 | 0 |
| Tucker Davidson | 11 | 20 | 21 | 6.30 | 0 | 1 |
Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez
- Lopez (2-2) gets the starting nod for the Twins in his 10th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.00 ERA in 54 2/3 innings pitched, with 66 strikeouts.
- In his last time out on Tuesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, the righty threw 4 2/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Lopez will try to record his eighth outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 6.0 innings per appearance.
- The Twins were named the moneyline underdog for two Lopez starts this season — they lost both.
- Lopez’s team is 5-4 over his nine starts.
- Lopez’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in four of seven games.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 20 | 19.1 | 20 | 5.12 | 6 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 19 | 20.2 | 19 | 1.31 | 6 | 3 |
| Jhoan Duran | 17 | 17.2 | 22 | 1.53 | 0 | 7 |
| Jovani Moran | 15 | 19.2 | 22 | 4.58 | 3 | 0 |
| Emilio Pagán | 14 | 17.2 | 17 | 5.60 | 0 | 0 |
Angels Hitting Trends
- The Angels are 9-7 this season in games when they send out two or more home runs.
- Los Angeles is 6-3 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 22-12 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Los Angeles has a 22-7 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Angels have drawn at least five walks in 12 games this season, and are 7-5 in those contests.
Twins Hitting Trends
- They have won 24 of the 28 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Minnesota is undefeated in 18 games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 36 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 29-7.
- Minnesota has won 29 of its 32 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 13-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Angels vs. Twins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Angels (-153)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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