The Boston Red Sox (26-20) will attempt to sweep the San Diego Padres (20-26) at PETCO Park on Sunday, at 4:10 PM ET.
The Padres are favored at home (-162) against the Red Sox (+140). The matchup has an over/under set at 9 total runs.
The betting trends in the following article are based off odds valid as of May 21, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -162 | +140 | 9 |
Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have won nine out of the 21 games, or 42.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
- San Diego is 4-6 this season when entering a game favored by -162 or more on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 61.8% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in nine of 38 games with a total.
- The Padres are 17-21-0 against the spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 1-9 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.4 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.93 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have come away with 15 wins in the 28 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Boston has been victorious four times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +140 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 41.7% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Boston has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 25 of 39 chances this season.
- In 39 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 26-13-0 against the spread.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.85 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Michael Wacha
- Wacha and his team have a record of 5-2-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander did not allow a run in seven innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
- Wacha has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Wacha’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-2).
- In games Wacha has started, his team is 6-2.
- Out of Wacha’s seven starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 21 | 20.2 | 12 | 3.05 | 6 | 0 |
| Steven Wilson | 21 | 22.2 | 26 | 3.18 | 8 | 0 |
| Luís Garcia | 19 | 18.2 | 20 | 4.82 | 7 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 18 | 18 | 24 | 1.00 | 0 | 11 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 16 | 25.2 | 22 | 3.51 | 3 | 0 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Corey Kluber
- Kluber gets the start for the Red Sox, his ninth of the season. He is 2-5 with a 6.41 ERA and 33 strikeouts over 39 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he threw five innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Kluber is trying for his sixth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.9 innings per start.
- The Red Sox have been the moneyline underdog in six of Kluber’s starts this season, and they went 3-3 in those games.
- Kluber’s team is 3-5 over his eight starts.
- Kluber has started six games with a total this season — his team has gone over in each of them.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | 18 | 21 | 18 | 7.29 | 1 | 1 |
| Josh Winckowski | 16 | 29.1 | 22 | 2.15 | 6 | 2 |
| Richard Bleier | 16 | 18.2 | 12 | 5.79 | 2 | 0 |
| Chris Martin | 13 | 13 | 9 | 1.38 | 8 | 0 |
| Kenley Jansen | 13 | 13.2 | 17 | 3.95 | 0 | 10 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 7-12 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- San Diego has had at least five extra-base hits in 11 games this season, and has gone 6-5 in those contests.
- The team has put up at least eight hits in 22 games this season, and is 14-8 in those contests.
- San Diego has a 15-2 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Padres are 12-7 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They have won 12 of the 19 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Boston has gone 10-6 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 20 of the 35 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 30 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 23-7.
- In 15 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 9-6
Padres vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (+140)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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